Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 16:00 • Fagverksvöllurinn Varmá Gervigras
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.18 (league 1.90) 0.99 (league 1.42)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.1% 19.5% 15.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.0%
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 0
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
KA Akureyri
0 1 2 3 4 5
Afturelding 0 4.2% 4.2% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.2% 9.1% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.0% 9.9% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.3% 7.2% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.0% 3.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.7% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAftureldingKA Akureyri
Played55
Form13%67%
Attack75%100%
Defense0%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.815 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Afturelding KA Akureyri
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins36%8%22%58%18%39%
Draws45%17%30%17%27%22%
Loses18%75%48%25%55%39%

Form: Afturelding: LDWLWLWLLDWWLDDLDLDLLLD • KA Akureyri: DLLWLLDWWDLLLWLWDWDWLWW

League goals

Metric Afturelding KA Akureyri
HATHAT
GF total201030221133
GF avg1.80.81.31.81.01.4
GA total152540162541
GA avg1.42.11.71.32.31.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAftureldingKA Akureyri
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%83%70%78%
1.530%57%48%48%
2.522%26%17%30%
3.59%9%9%13%
4.50%0%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAftureldingKA Akureyri
HATHAT
Clean sheets314415
Failed to score257257

Penalties

MetricAftureldingKA Akureyri
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total53

Streaks

MetricAftureldingKA Akureyri
Wins22
Draws21
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-24-11-2
Biggest losses0-24-12-55-0
Goals For4343
Goals Against3455

Model comparison

MetricAftureldingKA Akureyri
Form17%83%
Att38%63%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h29%71%
Goals36%64%
Total38.2%62.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or KA Akureyri and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.93 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.95 @ Pinnacle
Away2.22 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.82 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.44 @ Bet365
No2.88 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Afturelding = 2.18 (league 1.90), KA Akureyri = 0.99 (league 1.42)

KA Akureyri
0 1 2 3 4 5
Afturelding 0 4.2% 4.2% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.2% 9.1% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.0% 9.9% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.3% 7.2% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.0% 3.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.7% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.1% · Draw 19.5% · Away win 15.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1