Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 18:45 •
The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium
Expected Goals
1.80 (league 2.02)
0.53 (league 1.81)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 67.2% | 21.5% | 10.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.5%
2 - 0
15.7%
0 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Lisburn | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Derry City W | 0 | 9.7% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.5% | 9.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.7% | 8.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.4% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Derry City W | Lisburn |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 7% |
| Attack | 42% | 8% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 22 | 4.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
72%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Derry City W | Lisburn | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Wins | 29% | 29% | 29% | 0% | 14% | 7% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 7% |
| Loses | 71% | 71% | 71% | 86% | 86% | 86% |
Form: Derry City W: LLWWLLLWLLLLWL • Lisburn: LWLLLLLLLLLLDL
League goals
| Metric | Derry City W | Lisburn | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 9 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| GA total | 17 | 18 | 35 | 21 | 23 | 44 |
| GA avg | 2.4 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 3.3 | 3.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Derry City W | Lisburn | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 79% | 29% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 64% | 7% | 71% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 57% | 0% | 43% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 43% | 0% | 36% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 36% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Derry City W | Lisburn | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Derry City W | Lisburn |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Derry City W | Lisburn |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 10 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-4 | — | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 5-1 | 0-6 | 8-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 6 | 8 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Derry City W | Lisburn |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 83% | 17% |
| Def | 61% | 39% |
| Poisson Distribution | 80% | 20% |
| H2h | 91% | 9% |
| Goals | 78% | 22% |
| Total | 78.0% | 22.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Derry City W or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Derry City W = 1.80 (league 2.02), Lisburn = 0.53 (league 1.81)
| Lisburn | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Derry City W | 0 | 9.7% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.5% | 9.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.7% | 8.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.4% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.2% · Draw 21.5% · Away win 10.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1