Primera B — Colombia
Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 21:00 • Estadio Centenario
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.07 (league 1.27) 0.71 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.3% 19.2% 11.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.3%
1 - 0
12.9%
2 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Bogota FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Quindio 0 6.2% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.9% 9.1% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.3% 9.4% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.2% 6.5% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.8% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricQuindioBogota FC
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack43%36%
Defense50%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Quindio Bogota FC
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins31%7%19%43%8%26%
Draws46%21%33%29%23%26%
Loses23%71%48%29%69%48%

Form: Quindio: WLLLLWDLLDDDWLDLLDLDDLWLDWL • Bogota FC: DLDWLLLLLDLDWWLLDLWLDLWDWLW

League goals

Metric Quindio Bogota FC
HATHAT
GF total16102619827
GF avg1.20.71.01.40.61.0
GA total133144192847
GA avg1.02.21.61.42.21.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineQuindioBogota FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%81%67%85%
1.522%56%33%59%
2.54%15%0%19%
3.54%11%0%7%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricQuindioBogota FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets415404
Failed to score459279

Penalties

MetricQuindioBogota FC
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricQuindioBogota FC
Wins12
Draws31
Losses45

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-12-01-2
Biggest losses1-24-00-35-0
Goals For4222
Goals Against2435

Model comparison

MetricQuindioBogota FC
Form41%59%
Att55%45%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h64%36%
Goals55%45%
Total54.2%45.8%

Advice: Double chance : Quindio or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ William Hill
Draw3.90 @ 188Bet
Away5.05 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ William Hill
No1.99 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Quindio = 2.07 (league 1.27), Bogota FC = 0.71 (league 0.85)

Bogota FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Quindio 0 6.2% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.9% 9.1% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.3% 9.4% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.2% 6.5% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.8% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.3% · Draw 19.2% · Away win 11.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1