Liga 2 — Indonesia
Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 12:00 • Stadion Surajaya
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.50) 0.69 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.5% 27.7% 18.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.4%
0 - 0
12.5%
2 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Persiba Balikpapan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Persela Lamongan 0 12.5% 8.6% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.4% 12.0% 4.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.1% 8.3% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.6% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPersela LamonganPersiba Balikpapan
Played55
Form47%13%
Attack83%67%
Defense17%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Persela Lamongan Persiba Balikpapan
HATHAT
Played76136713
Wins43%50%46%33%14%23%
Draws14%33%23%0%29%15%
Loses43%17%31%67%57%62%

Form: Persela Lamongan: LDWLWWWDWWLDL • Persiba Balikpapan: LWWLLLWLDLDLL

League goals

Metric Persela Lamongan Persiba Balikpapan
HATHAT
GF total97168513
GF avg1.31.21.21.30.71.0
GA total8412111122
GA avg1.10.70.91.81.61.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePersela LamonganPersiba Balikpapan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%69%62%92%
1.538%23%23%54%
2.58%0%15%23%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPersela LamonganPersiba Balikpapan
HATHAT
Clean sheets134101
Failed to score123235

Penalties

MetricPersela LamonganPersiba Balikpapan
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricPersela LamonganPersiba Balikpapan
Wins32
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-33-01-2
Biggest losses1-22-00-33-0
Goals For2332
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricPersela LamonganPersiba Balikpapan
Form78%22%
Att56%44%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h71%29%
Goals64%36%
Total66.3%33.7%

Advice: Double chance : Persela Lamongan or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ William Hill
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away4.20 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.80 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.94 @ 188Bet
No1.88 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Persela Lamongan = 1.39 (league 1.50), Persiba Balikpapan = 0.69 (league 1.12)

Persiba Balikpapan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Persela Lamongan 0 12.5% 8.6% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.4% 12.0% 4.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.1% 8.3% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.6% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.5% · Draw 27.7% · Away win 18.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1