Liga 2 — Indonesia
Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 12:00 • Jakabaring Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.24 (league 1.55) 1.57 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.3% 14.4% 14.9%
best score tips
3 - 1
7.3%
2 - 1
6.7%
4 - 1
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
Adhyaksa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sumsel United 0 0.8% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
1 2.7% 4.2% 3.3% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 4.3% 6.7% 5.3% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.6% 7.3% 5.7% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
4 3.7% 5.9% 4.6% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
5 2.4% 3.8% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSumsel UnitedAdhyaksa
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack43%50%
Defense57%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sumsel United Adhyaksa
HATHAT
Played246336
Wins100%25%50%33%33%33%
Draws0%25%17%67%33%50%
Loses0%50%33%0%33%17%

Form: Sumsel United: WWLLWD • Adhyaksa: WWDDLD

League goals

Metric Sumsel United Adhyaksa
HATHAT
GF total5275510
GF avg2.50.51.21.71.71.7
GA total246369
GA avg1.01.01.01.02.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSumsel UnitedAdhyaksa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%83%83%
1.533%33%67%67%
2.517%0%17%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSumsel UnitedAdhyaksa
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score022011

Penalties

MetricSumsel UnitedAdhyaksa
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSumsel UnitedAdhyaksa
Wins22
Draws02
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-12-02-3
Biggest losses—2-0—2-0
Goals For3123
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricSumsel UnitedAdhyaksa
Form54%46%
Att46%54%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total57.0%43.0%

Advice: Double chance : Sumsel United or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.52 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away3.90 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.90 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sumsel United = 3.24 (league 1.55), Adhyaksa = 1.57 (league 1.08)

Adhyaksa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sumsel United 0 0.8% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
1 2.7% 4.2% 3.3% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 4.3% 6.7% 5.3% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.6% 7.3% 5.7% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
4 3.7% 5.9% 4.6% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
5 2.4% 3.8% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.3% · Draw 14.4% · Away win 14.9%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1