Mon, Nov 24 2025 • 08:30 •
Jakabaring Stadium
Expected Goals
1.97 (league 1.53)
1.41 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.0% | 21.9% | 27.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.5%
2 - 1
9.3%
1 - 0
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
| PSMS Medan | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sumsel United | 0 | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 6.7% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.6% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sumsel United | PSMS Medan |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 33% |
| Attack | 54% | 23% |
| Defense | 46% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
77%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sumsel United | PSMS Medan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Wins | 60% | 33% | 45% | 50% | 0% | 30% |
| Draws | 20% | 17% | 18% | 17% | 75% | 40% |
| Loses | 20% | 50% | 36% | 33% | 25% | 30% |
Form: Sumsel United: WWLLWDLDWWL • PSMS Medan: LDWWDDWLLD
League goals
| Metric | Sumsel United | PSMS Medan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 4 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 6 | 7 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sumsel United | PSMS Medan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 73% | 70% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 36% | 30% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 9% | 20% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sumsel United | PSMS Medan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sumsel United | PSMS Medan |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sumsel United | PSMS Medan |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-1 | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-2 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sumsel United | PSMS Medan |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 58% | 42% |
| Att | 70% | 30% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 61% | 39% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 57.8% | 42.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Sumsel United or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sumsel United = 1.97 (league 1.53), PSMS Medan = 1.41 (league 1.11)
| PSMS Medan | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sumsel United | 0 | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 6.7% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.6% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.0% · Draw 21.9% · Away win 27.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1