Liga 2 — Indonesia
Mon, Nov 24 2025 • 08:30 • Jakabaring Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.99 (league 1.51) 1.41 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.4% 21.7% 27.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.4%
2 - 1
9.3%
1 - 0
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
PSMS Medan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sumsel United 0 3.3% 4.7% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
1 6.6% 9.4% 6.6% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.6% 9.3% 6.6% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.4% 6.2% 4.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 2.2% 3.1% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSumsel UnitedPSMS Medan
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack78%33%
Defense22%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sumsel United PSMS Medan
HATHAT
Played56117411
Wins60%33%45%43%0%27%
Draws20%17%18%29%75%45%
Loses20%50%36%29%25%27%

Form: Sumsel United: WWLLWDLDWWL • PSMS Medan: LDWWDDWLLDD

League goals

Metric Sumsel United PSMS Medan
HATHAT
GF total104148513
GF avg2.00.71.31.11.31.2
GA total67136612
GA avg1.21.21.20.91.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSumsel UnitedPSMS Medan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%73%73%82%
1.527%36%27%18%
2.518%9%18%9%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSumsel UnitedPSMS Medan
HATHAT
Clean sheets123202
Failed to score022213

Penalties

MetricSumsel UnitedPSMS Medan
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricSumsel UnitedPSMS Medan
Wins22
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-13-1—
Biggest losses1-23-10-21-0
Goals For3133
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricSumsel UnitedPSMS Medan
Form58%42%
Att70%30%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total58.0%42.0%

Advice: Double chance : Sumsel United or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.02 @ Betano
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away4.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Betfair
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sumsel United = 1.99 (league 1.51), PSMS Medan = 1.41 (league 1.10)

PSMS Medan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sumsel United 0 3.3% 4.7% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
1 6.6% 9.4% 6.6% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.6% 9.3% 6.6% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.4% 6.2% 4.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 2.2% 3.1% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.4% · Draw 21.7% · Away win 27.0%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1