Sat, Jan 24 2026 • 08:30 •
Jakabaring Stadium
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 1.54)
1.88 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 12.6% | 21.2% | 64.9% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.6%
0 - 2
13.7%
1 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Sumsel United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sriwijaya FC | 0 | 7.7% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| 1 | 5.2% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sriwijaya FC | Sumsel United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 0% | 67% |
| Attack | 20% | 60% |
| Defense | 0% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 21 | 4.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sriwijaya FC | Sumsel United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 8 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 75% | 25% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 13% | 13% | 25% | 19% |
| Loses | 100% | 75% | 88% | 13% | 50% | 31% |
Form: Sriwijaya FC: LDLLLLLDLLLLLLLL • Sumsel United: WWLLWDLDWWLWWDWL
League goals
| Metric | Sriwijaya FC | Sumsel United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 6 | 23 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 21 | 28 | 49 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| GA avg | 2.6 | 3.5 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sriwijaya FC | Sumsel United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 100% | 88% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 69% | 38% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 63% | 19% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sriwijaya FC | Sumsel United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sriwijaya FC | Sumsel United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sriwijaya FC | Sumsel United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | 7-0 | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 7 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sriwijaya FC | Sumsel United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0% | 100% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 27% | 73% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 35.4% | 64.6% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Sumsel United
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sriwijaya FC = 0.68 (league 1.54), Sumsel United = 1.88 (league 1.10)
| Sumsel United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sriwijaya FC | 0 | 7.7% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| 1 | 5.2% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.6% · Draw 21.2% · Away win 64.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1