Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 12:00 • Ulinzi Sports Complex
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.06 (league 0.98) 0.05 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
75.5% 2.0% 0.1%
best score tips
4 - 0
18.6%
3 - 0
18.3%
5 - 0
15.1%
Score & goals probability table
Mathare United
0 1 2 3 4 5
KCB 0 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.5% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 18.3% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 18.6% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 15.1% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKCBMathare United
Played11
Form100%0%
Attack18%9%
Defense100%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 21 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 02 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

36%
FT probability

2.5+

25%
FT probability

3.5+

18%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric KCB Mathare United
HATHAT
Played011101
Wins—100%100%0%—0%
Draws—0%0%0%—0%
Loses—0%0%100%—100%

Form: KCB: W • Mathare United: L

League goals

Metric KCB Mathare United
HATHAT
GF total022101
GF avg0.02.02.01.00.01.0
GA total000202
GA avg0.00.00.02.00.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKCBMathare United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%0%100%100%
1.5100%0%0%100%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKCBMathare United
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricKCBMathare United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricKCBMathare United
Wins10
Draws00
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-2——
Biggest losses——1-2—
Goals For0210
Goals Against0020

Model comparison

MetricKCBMathare United
Form100%0%
Att67%33%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h62%38%
Goals57%43%
Total62.0%38.0%

Advice: Double chance : KCB or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.59 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.32 @ Marathonbet
Away6.50 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.51 @ Marathonbet
No1.46 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.56 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): KCB = 4.06 (league 0.98), Mathare United = 0.05 (league 0.87)

Mathare United
0 1 2 3 4 5
KCB 0 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.5% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 18.3% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 18.6% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 15.1% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.5% · Draw 2.0% · Away win 0.1%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1