Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 13:00 •
Kenyatta Stadium
Expected Goals
1.00 (league 1.00)
0.05 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 61.3% | 36.8% | 1.8% |
best score tips
0 - 0
35.0%
1 - 0
35.0%
2 - 0
17.5%
Score & goals probability table
| GOR Mahia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sofapaka | 0 | 35.0% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 35.0% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sofapaka | GOR Mahia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 1 | 1 |
| Form | 33% | 0% |
| Attack | 17% | 0% |
| Defense | 83% | 83% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
21%
FT probability
2.5+
15%
FT probability
3.5+
11%
FT probability
BTTS
55%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sofapaka | GOR Mahia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Wins | — | 0% | 0% | 0% | — | 0% |
| Draws | — | 100% | 100% | 0% | — | 0% |
| Loses | — | 0% | 0% | 100% | — | 100% |
Form: Sofapaka: D • GOR Mahia: L
League goals
| Metric | Sofapaka | GOR Mahia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| GA total | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sofapaka | GOR Mahia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 0% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sofapaka | GOR Mahia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sofapaka | GOR Mahia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sofapaka | GOR Mahia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-1 | — |
| Goals For | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sofapaka | GOR Mahia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 100% | 0% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 34.7% | 65.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Sofapaka or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sofapaka = 1.00 (league 1.00), GOR Mahia = 0.05 (league 0.84)
| GOR Mahia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sofapaka | 0 | 35.0% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 35.0% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.3% · Draw 36.8% · Away win 1.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1