Wed, Jan 7 2026 • 13:00 • Nyayo National Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.43 (league 1.01) 1.77 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.9% 23.1% 44.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.3%
1 - 2
9.1%
2 - 1
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
AFC Leopards
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nairobi United 0 4.1% 7.2% 6.4% 3.8% 1.7% 0.6%
1 5.8% 10.3% 9.1% 5.4% 2.4% 0.8%
2 4.2% 7.4% 6.5% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6%
3 2.0% 3.5% 3.1% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.7% 1.3% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNairobi UnitedAFC Leopards
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack36%29%
Defense64%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nairobi United AFC Leopards
HATHAT
Played56117714
Wins40%67%55%43%43%43%
Draws20%0%9%43%43%43%
Loses40%33%36%14%14%14%

Form: Nairobi United: WLWLWWLLDWW • AFC Leopards: DDDWWWLDDWDWWL

League goals

Metric Nairobi United AFC Leopards
HATHAT
GF total87157714
GF avg1.61.21.41.01.01.0
GA total84124610
GA avg1.60.71.10.60.90.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNairobi UnitedAFC Leopards
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%73%64%57%
1.536%27%36%14%
2.527%9%0%0%
3.59%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNairobi UnitedAFC Leopards
HATHAT
Clean sheets033336
Failed to score224325

Penalties

MetricNairobi UnitedAFC Leopards
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricNairobi UnitedAFC Leopards
Wins23
Draws13
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-32-01-2
Biggest losses0-32-00-12-0
Goals For4322
Goals Against3212

Model comparison

MetricNairobi UnitedAFC Leopards
Form41%59%
Att56%44%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total43.8%56.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or AFC Leopards

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.25 @ Superbet
Draw2.90 @ Bet365
Away2.92 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ William Hill
No1.59 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.00 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nairobi United = 1.43 (league 1.01), AFC Leopards = 1.77 (league 0.90)

AFC Leopards
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nairobi United 0 4.1% 7.2% 6.4% 3.8% 1.7% 0.6%
1 5.8% 10.3% 9.1% 5.4% 2.4% 0.8%
2 4.2% 7.4% 6.5% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6%
3 2.0% 3.5% 3.1% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.7% 1.3% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.9% · Draw 23.1% · Away win 44.7%

vtt 3 , vtd1