Wed, Oct 1 2025 • 12:00 • Kasarani Annex Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.52 (league 0.97) 2.21 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.2% 16.5% 73.8%
best score tips
0 - 2
16.0%
0 - 1
14.5%
0 - 3
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
Mathare United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tusker 0 6.6% 14.5% 16.0% 11.8% 6.5% 2.9%
1 3.4% 7.5% 8.3% 6.1% 3.4% 1.5%
2 0.9% 1.9% 2.1% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTuskerMathare United
Played22
Form0%50%
Attack17%33%
Defense33%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.52 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 22 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tusker Mathare United
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins0%0%0%0%100%50%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses100%100%100%100%0%50%

Form: Tusker: LL • Mathare United: LW

League goals

Metric Tusker Mathare United
HATHAT
GF total011112
GF avg0.01.00.51.01.01.0
GA total224202
GA avg2.02.02.02.00.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTuskerMathare United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%100%50%
1.50%100%0%50%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTuskerMathare United
HATHAT
Clean sheets000011
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricTuskerMathare United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricTuskerMathare United
Wins00
Draws00
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins———0-1
Biggest losses0-22-11-2—
Goals For0111
Goals Against2220

Model comparison

MetricTuskerMathare United
Form0%100%
Att33%67%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h71%29%
Goals70%30%
Total51.8%48.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Mathare United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ Bet365
Draw3.14 @ Marathonbet
Away4.20 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ William Hill
No1.67 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tusker = 0.52 (league 0.97), Mathare United = 2.21 (league 0.91)

Mathare United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tusker 0 6.6% 14.5% 16.0% 11.8% 6.5% 2.9%
1 3.4% 7.5% 8.3% 6.1% 3.4% 1.5%
2 0.9% 1.9% 2.1% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.2% · Draw 16.5% · Away win 73.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1