Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 12:00 •
Nyayo National Stadium
Expected Goals
0.50 (league 0.99)
2.39 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.1% | 14.5% | 75.9% |
best score tips
0 - 2
15.8%
0 - 1
13.3%
0 - 3
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
| GOR Mahia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| KCB | 0 | 5.6% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 7.5% | 3.6% |
| 1 | 2.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | |
| 2 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | KCB | GOR Mahia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 2 |
| Form | 67% | 50% |
| Attack | 33% | 22% |
| Defense | 89% | 89% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.3 | 1 | 0.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
0.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
41%
FT probability
2.5+
29%
FT probability
3.5+
21%
FT probability
BTTS
46%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | KCB | GOR Mahia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 0% | 100% | 67% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 100% | 0% | 33% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
Form: KCB: WLW • GOR Mahia: LW
League goals
| Metric | KCB | GOR Mahia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | KCB | GOR Mahia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 33% | 50% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 0% | 50% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | KCB | GOR Mahia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | KCB | GOR Mahia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | KCB | GOR Mahia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-2 | — | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | — | 0-1 | — |
| Goals For | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | KCB | GOR Mahia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 36% | 64% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 49.2% | 50.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or GOR Mahia and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): KCB = 0.50 (league 0.99), GOR Mahia = 2.39 (league 0.84)
| GOR Mahia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| KCB | 0 | 5.6% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 7.5% | 3.6% |
| 1 | 2.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | |
| 2 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.1% · Draw 14.5% · Away win 75.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1