Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 13:00 • Nyayo National Stadium
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
0.29 (league 1.02) 1.14 (league 0.88)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.5% 32.5% 57.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
27.2%
0 - 0
23.9%
0 - 2
15.5%
Score & goals probability table
Shabana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tusker 0 23.9% 27.2% 15.5% 5.9% 1.7% 0.4%
1 7.0% 8.0% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
2 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTuskerShabana
Played32
Form11%100%
Attack11%56%
Defense56%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.35 | 2.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 1.32 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%
FT probability

2.5+

36%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

47%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tusker Shabana
HATHAT
Played213112
Wins0%0%0%100%100%100%
Draws50%0%33%0%0%0%
Loses50%100%67%0%0%0%

Form: Tusker: LLD • Shabana: WW

League goals

Metric Tusker Shabana
HATHAT
GF total011415
GF avg0.01.00.34.01.02.5
GA total224202
GA avg1.02.01.32.00.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTuskerShabana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.533%67%100%50%
1.50%67%50%50%
2.50%0%50%0%
3.50%0%50%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTuskerShabana
HATHAT
Clean sheets101011
Failed to score202000

Penalties

MetricTuskerShabana
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricTuskerShabana
Wins02
Draws00
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——4-20-1
Biggest losses0-22-1——
Goals For0141
Goals Against2220

Model comparison

MetricTuskerShabana
Form14%86%
Att17%83%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h36%64%
Goals60%40%
Total32.0%68.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Shabana

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tusker = 0.29 (league 1.02), Shabana = 1.14 (league 0.88)

Shabana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tusker 0 23.9% 27.2% 15.5% 5.9% 1.7% 0.4%
1 7.0% 8.0% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
2 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.5% · Draw 32.5% · Away win 57.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1