Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 13:00 •
Nyayo National Stadium
Expected Goals
0.30 (league 1.00)
1.19 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 9.3% | 31.4% | 59.1% |
best score tips
0 - 1
26.8%
0 - 0
22.6%
0 - 2
15.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Shabana | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tusker | 0 | 22.6% | 26.8% | 15.9% | 6.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 6.8% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tusker | Shabana |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 2 |
| Form | 11% | 100% |
| Attack | 11% | 56% |
| Defense | 56% | 78% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.3 | 5 | 2.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 1.3 | 2 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
51%
FT probability
2.5+
36%
FT probability
3.5+
25%
FT probability
BTTS
47%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tusker | Shabana | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 50% | 100% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Tusker: LLD • Shabana: WW
League goals
| Metric | Tusker | Shabana | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 |
| GA total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tusker | Shabana | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 33% | 67% | 100% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 67% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tusker | Shabana | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tusker | Shabana |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tusker | Shabana |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 4-2 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-1 | — | — |
| Goals For | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tusker | Shabana |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 14% | 86% |
| Att | 17% | 83% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 36% | 64% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 32.0% | 68.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Shabana
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Tusker = 0.30 (league 1.00), Shabana = 1.19 (league 0.84)
| Shabana | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tusker | 0 | 22.6% | 26.8% | 15.9% | 6.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 6.8% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.3% · Draw 31.4% · Away win 59.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1