Thu, Oct 16 2025 • 15:00 •
Moi International Sports Centre
Expected Goals
4.00 (league 1.00)
2.37 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 46.1% | 13.0% | 16.8% |
best score tips
4 - 2
5.1%
3 - 2
5.1%
4 - 1
4.3%
Score & goals probability table
| APS Bomet | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| GOR Mahia | 0 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 1.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | GOR Mahia | APS Bomet |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 67% | 0% |
| Attack | 25% | 17% |
| Defense | 92% | 42% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0.7 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.3 | 7 | 2.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | GOR Mahia | APS Bomet | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 100% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 100% | 0% | 33% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Form: GOR Mahia: LWW • APS Bomet: LLL
League goals
| Metric | GOR Mahia | APS Bomet | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 4.0 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | GOR Mahia | APS Bomet | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 33% | 33% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 0% | 33% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | GOR Mahia | APS Bomet | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | GOR Mahia | APS Bomet |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | GOR Mahia | APS Bomet |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-2 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | — | 0-2 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | GOR Mahia | APS Bomet |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 88% | 13% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 74.0% | 26.5% |
Advice: Double chance : GOR Mahia or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.33 @ Bet365
Draw4.00 @ Bet365
Away9.00 @ Bet365
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): GOR Mahia = 4.00 (league 1.00), APS Bomet = 2.37 (league 0.84)
| APS Bomet | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| GOR Mahia | 0 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 1.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.1% · Draw 13.0% · Away win 16.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1