Tue, Nov 25 2025 • 13:00 • Moi International Sports Centre
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.21 (league 1.00) 0.74 (league 0.88)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
68.4% 18.0% 11.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.8%
1 - 0
11.6%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
APS Bomet
0 1 2 3 4 5
GOR Mahia 0 5.2% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.6% 8.6% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.8% 9.5% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.4% 7.0% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.2% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGOR MahiaAPS Bomet
Played55
Form87%33%
Attack82%36%
Defense91%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric GOR Mahia APS Bomet
HATHAT
Played448538
Wins50%100%75%0%33%13%
Draws25%0%13%20%33%25%
Loses25%0%13%80%33%63%

Form: GOR Mahia: LWWWWDWW • APS Bomet: LLLWLDDL

League goals

Metric GOR Mahia APS Bomet
HATHAT
GF total5712246
GF avg1.31.81.50.41.30.8
GA total2027512
GA avg0.50.00.31.41.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGOR MahiaAPS Bomet
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%25%50%88%
1.550%0%25%38%
2.513%0%0%13%
3.50%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGOR MahiaAPS Bomet
HATHAT
Clean sheets246011
Failed to score101314

Penalties

MetricGOR MahiaAPS Bomet
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricGOR MahiaAPS Bomet
Wins41
Draws12
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-2—1-2
Biggest losses0-1—0-24-2
Goals For3212
Goals Against1024

Model comparison

MetricGOR MahiaAPS Bomet
Form72%28%
Att69%31%
Def83%17%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total75.3%24.8%

Advice: Winner : GOR Mahia

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.36 @ Bet365
Draw4.33 @ Bet365
Away11.70 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.29 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.86 @ 1xBet
No1.40 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): GOR Mahia = 2.21 (league 1.00), APS Bomet = 0.74 (league 0.88)

APS Bomet
0 1 2 3 4 5
GOR Mahia 0 5.2% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.6% 8.6% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.8% 9.5% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.4% 7.0% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.2% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.4% · Draw 18.0% · Away win 11.0%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1