Homeboyz vs Ulinzi Stars

FKF Premier League — Kenya

Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 11:00 • Bukhungu Stadium

Match Finished

Homeboyz

3 - 1

Ulinzi Stars

Expected Goals

0.76 (league 0.99) 0.86 (league 0.87)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
29.5%	35.0%	35.4%

best score tips

0 - 0

19.8%

0 - 1

17.0%

1 - 0

15.0%

Score & goals probability table

		Ulinzi Stars
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Homeboyz	0	19.8%	17.0%	7.4%	2.1%	0.5%	0.1%
	1	15.0%	12.9%	5.6%	1.6%	0.3%	0.1%
	2	5.7%	4.9%	2.1%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
	3	1.4%	1.2%	0.5%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Homeboyz	Ulinzi Stars
Played	4	4
Form	58%	42%
Attack	40%	20%
Defense	70%	80%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	4 \| 1	2 \| 0.5
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	3 \| 0.8	2 \| 0.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

45%

FT probability

2.5+

32%

FT probability

3.5+

23%

FT probability

BTTS

44%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Homeboyz			Ulinzi Stars
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	2	2	4	2	2	4
Wins	50%	50%	50%	0%	50%	25%
Draws	0%	50%	25%	50%	50%	50%
Loses	50%	0%	25%	50%	0%	25%

Form: Homeboyz: DWLW • Ulinzi Stars: WDDL

League goals

Metric	Homeboyz			Ulinzi Stars
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	3	1	4	1	1	2
GF avg	1.5	0.5	1.0	0.5	0.5	0.5
GA total	3	0	3	2	0	2
GA avg	1.5	0.0	0.8	1.0	0.0	0.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Homeboyz		Ulinzi Stars
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	50%	50%	50%	25%
1.5	25%	25%	0%	25%
2.5	25%	0%	0%	0%
3.5	0%	0%	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Homeboyz			Ulinzi Stars
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	0	2	2	1	2	3
Failed to score	1	1	2	1	1	2

Penalties

Metric	Homeboyz	Ulinzi Stars
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Homeboyz	Ulinzi Stars
Wins	1	1
Draws	1	2
Losses	1	0

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	3-1	0-1	—	0-1
Biggest losses	0-2	—	1-2	—
Goals For	3	1	1	1
Goals Against	2	0	2	0

Model comparison

Metric	Homeboyz	Ulinzi Stars
Form	58%	42%
Att	67%	33%
Def	40%	60%
Poisson Distribution	0%	100%
H2h	62%	38%
Goals	67%	33%
Total	58.8%	41.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Homeboyz or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.75 @ Bet365

Draw2.55 @ Bet365

Away2.98 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.40 @ Bet365

Under 2.51.30 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.51 @ Marathonbet

No1.44 @ Marathonbet

Bookmaker: Select to view full market tables.

Bet365 Updated: 2025-10-24T05:35:13+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.75
Draw	2.55
Away	2.70

Bet ID 2 — Home/Away

Selection	Odds
Home	1.83
Away	1.83

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -1.25	5.90
Away -1.25	1.13
Home -1	5.50
Away -1	1.15
Home -0.75	3.55
Away -0.75	1.27
Home -0.5	2.85
Away -0.5	1.40
Home -0.25	2.38
Away -0.25	1.55
Home +0	1.92
Away +0	1.88
Home +0.25	1.58
Away +0.25	2.35
Home +0.5	1.42
Away +0.5	2.75
Home +0.75	1.30
Away +0.75	3.45
Home +1	1.16
Away +1	5.25
Home -1.5	6.60
Away -1.5	1.11
Home +1.25	1.13
Away +1.25	5.90
Home +1.5	1.12
Away +1.5	6.40

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 2.5	3.40
Under 2.5	1.30

Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	17.00
Home/Away	41.00
Draw/Away	6.00
Draw/Draw	3.50
Home/Home	4.75
Draw/Home	6.00
Away/Home	41.00
Away/Draw	19.00
Away/Away	4.75

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	6.00
2:0	11.00
2:1	15.00
3:0	26.00
3:1	34.00
3:2	51.00
4:0	51.00
4:1	67.00
0:0	4.33
1:1	6.50
2:2	26.00
0:1	6.00
0:2	11.00
0:3	26.00
1:2	15.00
1:3	34.00
2:3	51.00
0:4	51.00
1:4	67.00

Bet ID 31 — Correct Score - First Half

Selection	Odds
1:0	4.50
2:0	19.00
2:1	41.00
3:0	67.00
0:0	1.95
1:1	11.00
2:2	81.00
0:1	4.50
0:2	19.00
0:3	51.00
1:2	41.00

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.36
Home/Away	1.44
Draw/Away	1.36

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	3.75
Draw	1.73
Away	3.75

Bet ID 14 — Team To Score First

Selection	Odds
Home	2.30
Draw	4.33
Away	2.25

Bet ID 19 — Asian Handicap First Half

Selection	Odds
Home -0.75	5.75
Away -0.75	1.14
Home -0.5	3.80
Away -0.5	1.25
Home -0.25	2.85
Away -0.25	1.40
Home +0	1.92
Away +0	1.88
Home +0.25	1.40
Away +0.25	2.85
Home +0.5	1.26
Away +0.5	3.70
Home +0.75	1.15
Away +0.75	5.50

Bet ID 20 — Double Chance - First Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.25
Home/Away	2.00
Draw/Away	1.25

Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	2.10
Even	1.78

Bet ID 22 — Odd/Even - First Half

Selection	Odds
Odd	2.38
Even	1.57

Bet ID 63 — Odd/Even - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Odd	2.20
Even	1.62

Bet ID 50 — Goal Line

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.80
Under 1.5	2.00
Over 1.75	2.08
Under 1.75	1.72
Over 2.25	3.00
Under 2.25	1.38
Over 2.5	3.45
Under 2.5	1.30
Over 2.75	4.25
Under 2.75	1.21
Over 1	1.32
Under 1	3.30
Over 2	2.60
Under 2	1.48
Over 3	6.25
Under 3	1.12
Over 0.75	1.24
Under 0.75	3.90
Over 1.25	1.55
Under 1.25	2.38
Over 3.25	6.80
Under 3.25	1.10

Bet ID 72 — Goal Line (1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	4.80
Under 1.5	1.18
Over 1.75	6.80
Under 1.75	1.10
Over 1	3.30
Under 1	1.32
Over 0.5	1.78
Under 0.5	2.02
Over 0.75	2.15
Under 0.75	1.68
Over 1.25	4.00
Under 1.25	1.23

Marathonbet Updated: 2025-10-24T05:35:13+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.69
Draw	2.51
Away	2.96

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	3.24
Draw	1.90
Away	3.54

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -1.25	6.20
Away -1.25	1.06
Home -1	5.55
Away -1	1.08
Home -0.75	3.42
Away -0.75	1.23
Home -0.25	2.20
Away -0.25	1.54
Home +0	1.78
Away +0	1.93
Home +0.25	1.46
Away +0.25	2.39
Home +0.75	1.19
Away +0.75	3.80
Home +1	1.06
Away +1	6.35
Home -1.5	6.85
Away -1.5	1.04
Home +1.25	1.05
Away +1.25	6.45
Home +1.5	1.02
Away +1.5	7.70

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.76
Under 1.5	1.95
Over 1.75	1.97
Under 1.75	1.68
Over 2.0	2.49
Under 2.0	1.42
Over 2.25	2.88
Under 2.25	1.32
Over 2.5	3.28
Under 2.5	1.25
Over 2.75	4.30
Under 2.75	1.15
Over 3.5	7.40
Under 3.5	1.03
Over 0.5	1.13
Under 0.5	4.60
Over 0.75	1.17
Under 0.75	3.98
Over 1.0	1.24
Under 1.0	3.34
Over 1.25	1.48
Under 1.25	2.33
Over 3.0	6.40
Under 3.0	1.05

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	4.55
Under 1.5	1.13
Over 0.5	1.76
Under 0.5	1.96
Over 1.0	3.10
Under 1.0	1.30

Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	3.35
Under 1.5	1.26
Over 0.5	1.48
Under 0.5	2.41
Over 1.0	2.22
Under 1.0	1.59

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	2.51
No	1.44

Bet ID 9 — Handicap Result

Selection	Odds
Home -1	6.85
Away -1	1.36
Draw -1	4.05
Home +1	1.30
Draw +1	4.30
Away +1	7.70

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.30
Home/Away	1.41
Draw/Away	1.36

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	3.74
Draw	1.65
Away	4.10

Bet ID 14 — Team To Score First

Selection	Odds
Home	2.17
Draw	4.60
Away	2.28

Bet ID 15 — Team To Score Last

Selection	Odds
Home	2.17
Draw	4.60
Away	2.28

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	3.85
Under 1.5	1.21
Over 1	2.53
Under 1	1.46
Over 2	9.80
Under 2	1.00
Over 0.5	1.59
Under 0.5	2.15

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	4.20
Under 1.5	1.18
Over 1	2.74
Under 1	1.40
Over 2	10.50
Under 2	1.00
Over 0.5	1.60
Under 0.5	2.14

Pinnacle Updated: 2025-10-24T05:35:13+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.69
Draw	2.52
Away	2.98

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -0.75	3.33
Away -0.75	1.27
Home -0.5	2.63
Away -0.5	1.41
Home -0.25	2.22
Away -0.25	1.59
Home +0	1.78
Away +0	1.97
Home +0.25	1.49
Away +0.25	2.46
Home +0.5	1.35
Away +0.5	2.90
Home +0.75	1.22
Away +0.75	3.73

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.76
Under 1.5	1.99
Over 1.75	2.02
Under 1.75	1.71
Over 2.0	2.55
Under 2.0	1.44
Over 2.25	2.98
Under 2.25	1.33
Over 0.75	1.20
Under 0.75	3.90
Over 1.0	1.26
Under 1.0	3.35
Over 1.25	1.51
Under 1.25	2.40

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.72
Under 0.5	2.02
Over 0.75	2.06
Under 0.75	1.68
Over 1.0	2.97
Under 1.0	1.32

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.56
Under 0.5	2.29

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.63
Under 0.5	2.16

Bet ID 19 — Asian Handicap First Half

Selection	Odds
Home -0.5	3.42
Away -0.5	1.25
Home -0.25	2.66
Away -0.25	1.41
Home +0	1.78
Away +0	1.95
Home +0.25	1.35
Away +0.25	2.90
Home +0.5	1.21
Away +0.5	3.71

Bet ID 105 — Home Team Total Goals(1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	2.65
Under 0.5	1.42

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Homeboyz vs Ulinzi Stars

Expected goals (λ): Homeboyz = 0.76 (league 0.99), Ulinzi Stars = 0.86 (league 0.87)

		Ulinzi Stars
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Homeboyz	0	19.8%	17.0%	7.4%	2.1%	0.5%	0.1%
	1	15.0%	12.9%	5.6%	1.6%	0.3%	0.1%
	2	5.7%	4.9%	2.1%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
	3	1.4%	1.2%	0.5%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.5% · Draw 35.0% · Away win 35.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1

Metric	Homeboyz	Ulinzi Stars
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0