Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 12:00 •
Bukhungu Stadium
Expected Goals
0.75 (league 1.00)
0.89 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 28.7% | 34.7% | 36.6% |
best score tips
0 - 0
19.4%
0 - 1
17.3%
1 - 0
14.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Ulinzi Stars | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Homeboyz | 0 | 19.4% | 17.3% | 7.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.6% | 12.9% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Homeboyz | Ulinzi Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 58% | 42% |
| Attack | 33% | 17% |
| Defense | 75% | 83% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.8 | 2 | 0.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
45%
FT probability
2.5+
32%
FT probability
3.5+
23%
FT probability
BTTS
44%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Homeboyz | Ulinzi Stars | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Loses | 50% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
Form: Homeboyz: DWLW • Ulinzi Stars: WDDL
League goals
| Metric | Homeboyz | Ulinzi Stars | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Homeboyz | Ulinzi Stars | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 50% | 50% | 25% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 25% | 0% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Homeboyz | Ulinzi Stars | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Homeboyz | Ulinzi Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Homeboyz | Ulinzi Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-1 | — | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | — | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Homeboyz | Ulinzi Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 58% | 42% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 58.8% | 41.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Homeboyz or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Homeboyz = 0.75 (league 1.00), Ulinzi Stars = 0.89 (league 0.84)
| Ulinzi Stars | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Homeboyz | 0 | 19.4% | 17.3% | 7.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.6% | 12.9% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.7% · Draw 34.7% · Away win 36.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1