Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 12:00 •
SportPesa Arena
Expected Goals
1.00 (league 1.00)
1.71 (league 0.88)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 22.1% | 23.9% | 53.1% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.4%
0 - 1
11.3%
1 - 2
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Tusker | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Murang'a SEAL | 0 | 6.6% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 6.7% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Murang'a SEAL | Tusker |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 25% | 17% |
| Attack | 33% | 17% |
| Defense | 50% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.5 | 5 | 1.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Murang'a SEAL | Tusker | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 67% | 0% | 50% |
| Loses | 100% | 50% | 75% | 33% | 100% | 50% |
Form: Murang'a SEAL: LWLL • Tusker: LLDD
League goals
| Metric | Murang'a SEAL | Tusker | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Murang'a SEAL | Tusker | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 75% | 50% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 50% | 0% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Murang'a SEAL | Tusker | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Murang'a SEAL | Tusker |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Murang'a SEAL | Tusker |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-2 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Murang'a SEAL | Tusker |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 47.0% | 53.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Murang'a SEAL or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Murang'a SEAL = 1.00 (league 1.00), Tusker = 1.71 (league 0.88)
| Tusker | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Murang'a SEAL | 0 | 6.6% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 6.7% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.1% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 53.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1