Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 11:00 •
Gusii Stadium
Expected Goals
2.50 (league 1.00)
1.19 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 61.8% | 17.6% | 16.2% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.3%
2 - 0
7.8%
3 - 1
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Mathare United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Shabana | 0 | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.8% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 6.5% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Shabana | Mathare United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 58% | 33% |
| Attack | 58% | 25% |
| Defense | 58% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.8 | 3 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.3 | 4 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Shabana | Mathare United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 25% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Loses | 50% | 0% | 25% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
Form: Shabana: WWDL • Mathare United: LWDL
League goals
| Metric | Shabana | Mathare United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 4 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Shabana | Mathare United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 75% | 75% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 50% | 0% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Shabana | Mathare United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Shabana | Mathare United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Shabana | Mathare United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 0-1 | — | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | — | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Shabana | Mathare United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 70% | 30% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 49.5% | 50.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Mathare United and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Shabana = 2.50 (league 1.00), Mathare United = 1.19 (league 0.84)
| Mathare United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Shabana | 0 | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.8% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 6.5% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.8% · Draw 17.6% · Away win 16.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1