Tue, Oct 28 2025 • 12:00 • Kasarani Annex Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.80 (league 1.00) 3.43 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
5.0% 9.2% 72.4%
best score tips
0 - 3
9.7%
0 - 2
8.5%
0 - 4
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
Mara Sugar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sofapaka 0 1.4% 5.0% 8.5% 9.7% 8.4% 5.7%
1 1.2% 4.0% 6.8% 7.8% 6.7% 4.6%
2 0.5% 1.6% 2.8% 3.1% 2.7% 1.9%
3 0.1% 0.4% 0.7% 0.8% 0.7% 0.5%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSofapakaMara Sugar
Played44
Form33%42%
Attack27%18%
Defense55%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.82 | 0.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 1.32 | 0.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sofapaka Mara Sugar
HATHAT
Played224314
Wins0%50%25%0%100%25%
Draws0%50%25%67%0%50%
Loses100%0%50%33%0%25%

Form: Sofapaka: DLLW • Mara Sugar: DLWD

League goals

Metric Sofapaka Mara Sugar
HATHAT
GF total033022
GF avg0.01.50.80.02.00.5
GA total325112
GA avg1.51.01.30.31.00.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSofapakaMara Sugar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%25%50%
1.525%25%25%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSofapakaMara Sugar
HATHAT
Clean sheets000202
Failed to score202303

Penalties

MetricSofapakaMara Sugar
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSofapakaMara Sugar
Wins01
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-2—1-2
Biggest losses0-2—0-1—
Goals For0202
Goals Against2111

Model comparison

MetricSofapakaMara Sugar
Form44%56%
Att60%40%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total46.6%53.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Mara Sugar and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.49 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.90 @ Bet365
Away3.10 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.53 @ 888Sport

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ Superbet
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sofapaka = 0.80 (league 1.00), Mara Sugar = 3.43 (league 0.87)

Mara Sugar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sofapaka 0 1.4% 5.0% 8.5% 9.7% 8.4% 5.7%
1 1.2% 4.0% 6.8% 7.8% 6.7% 4.6%
2 0.5% 1.6% 2.8% 3.1% 2.7% 1.9%
3 0.1% 0.4% 0.7% 0.8% 0.7% 0.5%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.0% · Draw 9.2% · Away win 72.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1