Thu, Oct 30 2025 • 13:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.30 (league 0.98) 3.45 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
1.3% 5.5% 79.6%
best score tips
0 - 3
16.0%
0 - 2
13.9%
0 - 4
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
GOR Mahia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mathare United 0 2.3% 8.1% 13.9% 16.0% 13.8% 9.5%
1 0.7% 2.5% 4.2% 4.9% 4.2% 2.9%
2 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMathare UnitedGOR Mahia
Played54
Form47%75%
Attack25%38%
Defense75%94%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.81 | 0.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mathare United GOR Mahia
HATHAT
Played235224
Wins0%67%40%50%100%75%
Draws0%33%20%0%0%0%
Loses100%0%40%50%0%25%

Form: Mathare United: LWDLW • GOR Mahia: LWWW

League goals

Metric Mathare United GOR Mahia
HATHAT
GF total224336
GF avg1.00.70.81.51.51.5
GA total404101
GA avg2.00.00.80.50.00.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMathare UnitedGOR Mahia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%40%75%25%
1.50%40%50%0%
2.50%0%25%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMathare UnitedGOR Mahia
HATHAT
Clean sheets033123
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricMathare UnitedGOR Mahia
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricMathare UnitedGOR Mahia
Wins10
Draws10
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-13-00-2
Biggest losses1-2—0-1—
Goals For1132
Goals Against2010

Model comparison

MetricMathare UnitedGOR Mahia
Form44%56%
Att40%60%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h29%71%
Goals31%69%
Total32.8%67.2%

Advice: Combo Winner : GOR Mahia and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.19 @ 1xBet
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away1.80 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ William Hill
No1.61 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mathare United = 0.30 (league 0.98), GOR Mahia = 3.45 (league 0.87)

GOR Mahia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mathare United 0 2.3% 8.1% 13.9% 16.0% 13.8% 9.5%
1 0.7% 2.5% 4.2% 4.9% 4.2% 2.9%
2 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.3% · Draw 5.5% · Away win 79.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1