Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 13:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.30 (league 1.00)
3.56 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.2% | 5.0% | 78.8% |
best score tips
0 - 3
15.8%
0 - 4
14.1%
0 - 2
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
| GOR Mahia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mathare United | 0 | 2.1% | 7.5% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 10.0% |
| 1 | 0.6% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mathare United | GOR Mahia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 3 |
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Attack | 25% | 25% |
| Defense | 67% | 92% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.8 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
54%
FT probability
2.5+
38%
FT probability
3.5+
27%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mathare United | GOR Mahia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 25% | 0% | 100% | 67% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 100% | 0% | 50% | 100% | 0% | 33% |
Form: Mathare United: LWDL • GOR Mahia: LWW
League goals
| Metric | Mathare United | GOR Mahia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mathare United | GOR Mahia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 50% | 67% | 33% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mathare United | GOR Mahia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mathare United | GOR Mahia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mathare United | GOR Mahia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-1 | — | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | — | 0-1 | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mathare United | GOR Mahia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 20% | 80% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 31% | 69% |
| Total | 34.0% | 66.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or GOR Mahia and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mathare United = 0.30 (league 1.00), GOR Mahia = 3.56 (league 0.84)
| GOR Mahia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mathare United | 0 | 2.1% | 7.5% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 10.0% |
| 1 | 0.6% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.2% · Draw 5.0% · Away win 78.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1