Wed, Oct 29 2025 • 11:00 • Raila Odinga Homa Bay Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.47 (league 0.98) 3.94 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.1% 13.7% 30.7%
best score tips
3 - 3
4.3%
3 - 4
4.2%
4 - 3
3.7%
Score & goals probability table
AFC Leopards
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shabana 0 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5%
1 0.2% 0.8% 1.6% 2.1% 2.1% 1.7%
2 0.4% 1.4% 2.8% 3.7% 3.7% 2.9%
3 0.4% 1.7% 3.3% 4.3% 4.2% 3.3%
4 0.4% 1.4% 2.8% 3.7% 3.7% 2.9%
5 0.3% 1.0% 2.0% 2.6% 2.5% 2.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricShabanaAFC Leopards
Played54
Form47%50%
Attack58%42%
Defense50%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Shabana AFC Leopards
HATHAT
Played325314
Wins33%50%40%33%0%25%
Draws0%50%20%67%100%75%
Loses67%0%40%0%0%0%

Form: Shabana: WWDLL • AFC Leopards: DDDW

League goals

Metric Shabana AFC Leopards
HATHAT
GF total527325
GF avg1.71.01.41.02.01.3
GA total516224
GA avg1.70.51.20.72.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineShabanaAFC Leopards
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%75%75%
1.520%40%50%25%
2.520%0%0%0%
3.520%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricShabanaAFC Leopards
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score101101

Penalties

MetricShabanaAFC Leopards
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricShabanaAFC Leopards
Wins20
Draws13
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-12-1—
Biggest losses1-2———
Goals For4122
Goals Against2112

Model comparison

MetricShabanaAFC Leopards
Form54%46%
Att58%42%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h62%38%
Goals53%47%
Total54.0%46.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Shabana or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ Bet365
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away4.06 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Betfair
No1.68 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Shabana = 3.47 (league 0.98), AFC Leopards = 3.94 (league 0.86)

AFC Leopards
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shabana 0 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5%
1 0.2% 0.8% 1.6% 2.1% 2.1% 1.7%
2 0.4% 1.4% 2.8% 3.7% 3.7% 2.9%
3 0.4% 1.7% 3.3% 4.3% 4.2% 3.3%
4 0.4% 1.4% 2.8% 3.7% 3.7% 2.9%
5 0.3% 1.0% 2.0% 2.6% 2.5% 2.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.1% · Draw 13.7% · Away win 30.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1