Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 10:00 •
Nyayo National Stadium
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.01)
0.53 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.6% | 34.9% | 19.4% |
best score tips
0 - 0
21.8%
1 - 0
21.6%
0 - 1
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Sofapaka | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nairobi United | 0 | 21.8% | 11.6% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.6% | 11.5% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.7% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nairobi United | Sofapaka |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 4 |
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Attack | 30% | 30% |
| Defense | 90% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.3 | 5 | 1.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
42%
FT probability
2.5+
30%
FT probability
3.5+
21%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nairobi United | Sofapaka | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | — | 67% | 67% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Draws | — | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Loses | — | 33% | 33% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
Form: Nairobi United: WLW • Sofapaka: DLLW
League goals
| Metric | Nairobi United | Sofapaka | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nairobi United | Sofapaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 33% | 50% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 0% | 25% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nairobi United | Sofapaka | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nairobi United | Sofapaka |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nairobi United | Sofapaka |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-2 | — | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 0-2 | — |
| Goals For | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nairobi United | Sofapaka |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 83% | 17% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 64.3% | 35.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Nairobi United or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Nairobi United = 0.99 (league 1.01), Sofapaka = 0.53 (league 0.84)
| Sofapaka | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nairobi United | 0 | 21.8% | 11.6% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.6% | 11.5% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.7% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.6% · Draw 34.9% · Away win 19.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1