Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 11:00 •
Bukhungu Stadium
Expected Goals
2.02 (league 0.99)
1.49 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 48.2% | 21.5% | 28.1% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.1%
1 - 1
9.0%
2 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Tusker | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Homeboyz | 0 | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 6.0% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 6.1% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Homeboyz | Tusker |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 53% |
| Attack | 100% | 56% |
| Defense | 44% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
67%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Homeboyz | Tusker | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Wins | 67% | 67% | 67% | 25% | 50% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 17% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Loses | 33% | 0% | 17% | 25% | 50% | 33% |
Form: Homeboyz: DWLWWW • Tusker: LLDDWW
League goals
| Metric | Homeboyz | Tusker | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 4 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Homeboyz | Tusker | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 17% | 17% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Homeboyz | Tusker | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Homeboyz | Tusker |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Homeboyz | Tusker |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | — | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Homeboyz | Tusker |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 69% | 31% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 59.2% | 40.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Homeboyz or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Homeboyz = 2.02 (league 0.99), Tusker = 1.49 (league 0.87)
| Tusker | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Homeboyz | 0 | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 6.0% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 6.1% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.2% · Draw 21.5% · Away win 28.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1