Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 12:00 •
Nyayo National Stadium
Expected Goals
1.03 (league 0.97)
0.54 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 46.8% | 34.1% | 19.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
21.4%
0 - 0
20.8%
1 - 1
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Mathare United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AFC Leopards | 0 | 20.8% | 11.2% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.4% | 11.6% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.0% | 6.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | AFC Leopards | Mathare United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 47% |
| Attack | 78% | 33% |
| Defense | 44% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
46%
FT probability
2.5+
33%
FT probability
3.5+
23%
FT probability
BTTS
54%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | AFC Leopards | Mathare United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 33% | 50% | 40% | 0% | 67% | 33% |
| Draws | 67% | 50% | 60% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
Form: AFC Leopards: DDDWW • Mathare United: LWDLWL
League goals
| Metric | AFC Leopards | Mathare United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | AFC Leopards | Mathare United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 80% | 67% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 60% | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | AFC Leopards | Mathare United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | AFC Leopards | Mathare United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | AFC Leopards | Mathare United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-2 | — | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-2 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | AFC Leopards | Mathare United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 70% | 30% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 73% | 27% |
| Total | 64.6% | 35.4% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : AFC Leopards or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): AFC Leopards = 1.03 (league 0.97), Mathare United = 0.54 (league 0.91)
| Mathare United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AFC Leopards | 0 | 20.8% | 11.2% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.4% | 11.6% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.0% | 6.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.8% · Draw 34.1% · Away win 19.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1