Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 12:00 •
Nyayo National Stadium
Expected Goals
1.51 (league 1.00)
2.28 (league 0.88)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 24.6% | 19.9% | 52.1% |
best score tips
1 - 2
8.9%
1 - 1
7.8%
1 - 3
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Kariobangi Sharks | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nairobi United | 0 | 2.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 3.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nairobi United | Kariobangi Sharks |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 27% |
| Attack | 60% | 40% |
| Defense | 50% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nairobi United | Kariobangi Sharks | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 50% | 67% | 60% | 0% | 33% | 14% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 33% | 43% |
| Loses | 50% | 33% | 40% | 50% | 33% | 43% |
Form: Nairobi United: WLWLW • Kariobangi Sharks: DDLWLLD
League goals
| Metric | Nairobi United | Kariobangi Sharks | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 4 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nairobi United | Kariobangi Sharks | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 60% | 43% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 20% | 14% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 20% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nairobi United | Kariobangi Sharks | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nairobi United | Kariobangi Sharks |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nairobi United | Kariobangi Sharks |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-2 | — | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nairobi United | Kariobangi Sharks |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69% | 31% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 55% | 45% |
| Poisson Distribution | 49% | 51% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 58.3% | 41.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Nairobi United or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Nairobi United = 1.51 (league 1.00), Kariobangi Sharks = 2.28 (league 0.88)
| Kariobangi Sharks | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nairobi United | 0 | 2.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 3.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.6% · Draw 19.9% · Away win 52.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1