Fri, Nov 7 2025 • 13:00 • Kenyatta Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.51 (league 0.98) 0.81 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.4% 38.9% 39.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
26.7%
0 - 1
21.6%
1 - 0
13.6%
Score & goals probability table
Tusker
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bidco United 0 26.7% 21.6% 8.8% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.6% 11.0% 4.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 3.5% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBidco UnitedTusker
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack33%42%
Defense67%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

42%
FT probability

2.5+

30%
FT probability

3.5+

21%
FT probability

BTTS

52%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bidco United Tusker
HATHAT
Played246437
Wins50%50%50%25%33%29%
Draws50%25%33%50%33%43%
Loses0%25%17%25%33%29%

Form: Bidco United: WWLDWD • Tusker: LLDDWWD

League goals

Metric Bidco United Tusker
HATHAT
GF total145336
GF avg0.51.00.80.81.00.9
GA total044437
GA avg0.01.00.71.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBidco UnitedTusker
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%33%71%71%
1.517%17%14%29%
2.50%17%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBidco UnitedTusker
HATHAT
Clean sheets224112
Failed to score112202

Penalties

MetricBidco UnitedTusker
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBidco UnitedTusker
Wins22
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-22-10-1
Biggest losses—3-10-22-1
Goals For1221
Goals Against0322

Model comparison

MetricBidco UnitedTusker
Form47%53%
Att44%56%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h20%80%
Goals36%64%
Total38.0%62.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Tusker and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.68 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.71 @ Pinnacle
Away3.06 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.52 @ Superbet
No1.53 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.30 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.33 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bidco United = 0.51 (league 0.98), Tusker = 0.81 (league 0.86)

Tusker
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bidco United 0 26.7% 21.6% 8.8% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.6% 11.0% 4.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 3.5% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.4% · Draw 38.9% · Away win 39.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1