Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 13:00 •
Nyayo National Stadium
Expected Goals
0.09 (league 0.99)
0.05 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 8.3% | 87.2% | 4.5% |
best score tips
0 - 0
86.8%
1 - 0
7.9%
0 - 1
4.3%
Score & goals probability table
| GOR Mahia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Police | 0 | 86.8% | 4.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Police | GOR Mahia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 87% |
| Attack | 15% | 69% |
| Defense | 100% | 92% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.5 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
0.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
31%
FT probability
2.5+
22%
FT probability
3.5+
15%
FT probability
BTTS
34%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Police | GOR Mahia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 33% | 100% | 50% | 33% | 100% | 67% |
| Draws | 67% | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
Form: Police: DWDW • GOR Mahia: LWWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Police | GOR Mahia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| GF avg | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Police | GOR Mahia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 0% | 83% | 33% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 17% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Police | GOR Mahia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Police | GOR Mahia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Police | GOR Mahia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-1 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-1 | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Police | GOR Mahia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 62% |
| Att | 18% | 82% |
| Def | 100% | 0% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 63% | 38% |
| Total | 45.3% | 55.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Police or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Police = 0.09 (league 0.99), GOR Mahia = 0.05 (league 0.87)
| GOR Mahia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Police | 0 | 86.8% | 4.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.3% · Draw 87.2% · Away win 4.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1