Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 13:00 • Moi International Sports Centre
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.21 (league 1.00) 2.28 (league 0.88)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
2.4% 12.8% 81.9%
best score tips
0 - 2
21.6%
0 - 1
18.9%
0 - 3
16.4%
Score & goals probability table
Homeboyz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mathare United 0 8.3% 18.9% 21.6% 16.4% 9.3% 4.2%
1 1.7% 4.0% 4.5% 3.4% 2.0% 0.9%
2 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMathare UnitedHomeboyz
Played55
Form27%73%
Attack38%100%
Defense13%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mathare United Homeboyz
HATHAT
Played358538
Wins0%40%25%40%67%50%
Draws0%40%25%40%33%38%
Loses100%20%50%20%0%13%

Form: Mathare United: LWDLWLLD • Homeboyz: DWLWWWDD

League goals

Metric Mathare United Homeboyz
HATHAT
GF total2358311
GF avg0.70.60.61.61.01.4
GA total639617
GA avg2.00.61.11.20.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMathare UnitedHomeboyz
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%63%75%75%
1.50%50%38%13%
2.50%0%25%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMathare UnitedHomeboyz
HATHAT
Clean sheets033022
Failed to score123112

Penalties

MetricMathare UnitedHomeboyz
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricMathare UnitedHomeboyz
Wins13
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-13-11-2
Biggest losses0-22-00-2—
Goals For1132
Goals Against2221

Model comparison

MetricMathare UnitedHomeboyz
Form27%73%
Att23%77%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution11%89%
H2h7%93%
Goals17%83%
Total21.2%78.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Homeboyz

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.50 @ Betfair
Draw3.05 @ Betano
Away1.91 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.40 @ Superbet
No1.60 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.63 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mathare United = 0.21 (league 1.00), Homeboyz = 2.28 (league 0.88)

Homeboyz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mathare United 0 8.3% 18.9% 21.6% 16.4% 9.3% 4.2%
1 1.7% 4.0% 4.5% 3.4% 2.0% 0.9%
2 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 2.4% · Draw 12.8% · Away win 81.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1