Wed, Nov 19 2025 • 10:00 • Gusii Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.50 (league 1.00) 1.33 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.0% 28.7% 57.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
21.3%
0 - 0
16.1%
0 - 2
14.1%
Score & goals probability table
Ulinzi Stars
0 1 2 3 4 5
APS Bomet 0 16.1% 21.3% 14.1% 6.3% 2.1% 0.6%
1 8.1% 10.7% 7.1% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3%
2 2.0% 2.7% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAPS BometUlinzi Stars
Played55
Form33%7%
Attack44%44%
Defense44%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric APS Bomet Ulinzi Stars
HATHAT
Played437448
Wins0%33%14%0%25%13%
Draws25%33%29%25%50%38%
Loses75%33%57%75%25%50%

Form: APS Bomet: LLLWLDD • Ulinzi Stars: WDDLLLDL

League goals

Metric APS Bomet Ulinzi Stars
HATHAT
GF total246235
GF avg0.51.30.90.50.80.6
GA total6511549
GA avg1.51.71.61.31.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAPS BometUlinzi Stars
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%86%63%63%
1.529%43%0%38%
2.50%14%0%13%
3.50%14%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAPS BometUlinzi Stars
HATHAT
Clean sheets011123
Failed to score213213

Penalties

MetricAPS BometUlinzi Stars
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAPS BometUlinzi Stars
Wins11
Draws02
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-2—0-1
Biggest losses0-24-21-23-1
Goals For1211
Goals Against2423

Model comparison

MetricAPS BometUlinzi Stars
Form83%17%
Att50%50%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total56.0%44.0%

Advice: Double chance : APS Bomet or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.74 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.70 @ 10Bet
Away3.03 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.85 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.45 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Betfair
No1.64 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): APS Bomet = 0.50 (league 1.00), Ulinzi Stars = 1.33 (league 0.90)

Ulinzi Stars
0 1 2 3 4 5
APS Bomet 0 16.1% 21.3% 14.1% 6.3% 2.1% 0.6%
1 8.1% 10.7% 7.1% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3%
2 2.0% 2.7% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.0% · Draw 28.7% · Away win 57.1%

vtt 5 , vtd1