Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 13:00 •
Moi International Sports Centre
Expected Goals
0.09 (league 1.02)
1.55 (league 0.88)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.9% | 22.2% | 75.4% |
best score tips
0 - 1
30.1%
0 - 2
23.3%
0 - 0
19.5%
Score & goals probability table
| GOR Mahia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kariobangi Sharks | 0 | 19.5% | 30.1% | 23.3% | 12.0% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Kariobangi Sharks | GOR Mahia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 87% |
| Attack | 40% | 90% |
| Defense | 40% | 90% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
44%
FT probability
2.5+
31%
FT probability
3.5+
22%
FT probability
BTTS
45%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Kariobangi Sharks | GOR Mahia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 0% | 33% | 14% | 33% | 100% | 67% |
| Draws | 50% | 33% | 43% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Loses | 50% | 33% | 43% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
Form: Kariobangi Sharks: DDLWLLD • GOR Mahia: LWWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Kariobangi Sharks | GOR Mahia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| GF avg | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Kariobangi Sharks | GOR Mahia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 43% | 57% | 83% | 33% |
| 1.5 | 14% | 29% | 50% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 17% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Kariobangi Sharks | GOR Mahia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Kariobangi Sharks | GOR Mahia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Kariobangi Sharks | GOR Mahia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-2 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-1 | 0-1 | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Kariobangi Sharks | GOR Mahia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 24% | 76% |
| Att | 31% | 69% |
| Def | 14% | 86% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 18% | 82% |
| Total | 21.8% | 78.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or GOR Mahia and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Kariobangi Sharks = 0.09 (league 1.02), GOR Mahia = 1.55 (league 0.88)
| GOR Mahia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kariobangi Sharks | 0 | 19.5% | 30.1% | 23.3% | 12.0% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.9% · Draw 22.2% · Away win 75.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1