Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 11:00 • Gusii Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.47 (league 0.97) 1.99 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.6% 18.6% 72.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.1%
0 - 2
17.0%
0 - 3
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Nairobi United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shabana 0 8.6% 17.1% 17.0% 11.3% 5.6% 2.2%
1 4.0% 8.0% 7.9% 5.2% 2.6% 1.0%
2 0.9% 1.9% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricShabanaNairobi United
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack23%69%
Defense62%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Shabana Nairobi United
HATHAT
Played437336
Wins25%33%29%67%67%67%
Draws0%67%29%0%0%0%
Loses75%0%43%33%33%33%

Form: Shabana: WWDLLLD • Nairobi United: WLWLWW

League goals

Metric Shabana Nairobi United
HATHAT
GF total6287310
GF avg1.50.71.12.31.01.7
GA total718617
GA avg1.80.31.12.00.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineShabanaNairobi United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%71%67%67%
1.514%43%50%33%
2.514%0%33%17%
3.514%0%17%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricShabanaNairobi United
HATHAT
Clean sheets022022
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricShabanaNairobi United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricShabanaNairobi United
Wins21
Draws10
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-14-20-2
Biggest losses1-2—0-31-0
Goals For4142
Goals Against2131

Model comparison

MetricShabanaNairobi United
Form31%69%
Att25%75%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution25%75%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total34.8%65.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Nairobi United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.98 @ Betano
Draw2.87 @ Superbet
Away4.57 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes3.00 @ Superbet
No1.36 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.42 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.36 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Shabana = 0.47 (league 0.97), Nairobi United = 1.99 (league 0.91)

Nairobi United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shabana 0 8.6% 17.1% 17.0% 11.3% 5.6% 2.2%
1 4.0% 8.0% 7.9% 5.2% 2.6% 1.0%
2 0.9% 1.9% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.6% · Draw 18.6% · Away win 72.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1