Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 13:00 •
Gusii Stadium
Expected Goals
0.44 (league 1.02)
2.09 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.6% | 17.2% | 74.2% |
best score tips
0 - 2
17.4%
0 - 1
16.7%
0 - 3
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Nairobi United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Shabana | 0 | 8.0% | 16.7% | 17.4% | 12.1% | 6.3% | 2.6% |
| 1 | 3.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Shabana | Nairobi United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 60% |
| Attack | 21% | 64% |
| Defense | 57% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Shabana | Nairobi United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 25% | 33% | 29% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Draws | 0% | 67% | 29% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 75% | 0% | 43% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Form: Shabana: WWDLLLD • Nairobi United: WLWLWW
League goals
| Metric | Shabana | Nairobi United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 7 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Shabana | Nairobi United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 71% | 67% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 14% | 43% | 50% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 0% | 17% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Shabana | Nairobi United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Shabana | Nairobi United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Shabana | Nairobi United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 0-1 | 4-2 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | — | 0-3 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Shabana | Nairobi United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 18% | 82% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 25% | 75% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 30.5% | 69.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Nairobi United
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Shabana = 0.44 (league 1.02), Nairobi United = 2.09 (league 0.86)
| Nairobi United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Shabana | 0 | 8.0% | 16.7% | 17.4% | 12.1% | 6.3% | 2.6% |
| 1 | 3.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.6% · Draw 17.2% · Away win 74.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1