Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 11:00 • Moi International Sports Centre
Match Finished
1 - 2
Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.00) 1.14 (league 0.88)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
1.6% 32.2% 66.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
34.7%
0 - 0
30.4%
0 - 2
19.8%
Score & goals probability table
Police
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tusker 0 30.4% 34.7% 19.8% 7.5% 2.1% 0.5%
1 1.5% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTuskerPolice
Played55
Form73%53%
Attack67%22%
Defense67%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

36%
FT probability

2.5+

26%
FT probability

3.5+

18%
FT probability

BTTS

46%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tusker Police
HATHAT
Played448314
Wins25%50%38%33%100%50%
Draws50%25%38%67%0%50%
Loses25%25%25%0%0%0%

Form: Tusker: LLDDWWDW • Police: DWDW

League goals

Metric Tusker Police
HATHAT
GF total347112
GF avg0.81.00.90.31.00.5
GA total437000
GA avg1.00.80.90.00.00.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTuskerPolice
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%63%50%0%
1.513%25%0%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTuskerPolice
HATHAT
Clean sheets123314
Failed to score202202

Penalties

MetricTuskerPolice
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricTuskerPolice
Wins21
Draws21
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-11-00-1
Biggest losses0-22-1——
Goals For2111
Goals Against2200

Model comparison

MetricTuskerPolice
Form58%42%
Att75%25%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h85%15%
Goals80%20%
Total67.6%32.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Tusker or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.70 @ William Hill
Draw2.75 @ Bet365
Away2.88 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.40 @ Betfair
No1.53 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.33 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tusker = 0.05 (league 1.00), Police = 1.14 (league 0.88)

Police
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tusker 0 30.4% 34.7% 19.8% 7.5% 2.1% 0.5%
1 1.5% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.6% · Draw 32.2% · Away win 66.1%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1