Mon, Nov 24 2025 • 12:00 • Kasarani Annex Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.81 (league 0.99) 1.18 (league 0.88)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.1% 30.2% 44.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.2%
0 - 0
13.7%
1 - 1
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Ulinzi Stars
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sofapaka 0 13.7% 16.2% 9.6% 3.8% 1.1% 0.3%
1 11.0% 13.0% 7.7% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 4.4% 5.3% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.2% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSofapakaUlinzi Stars
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack100%57%
Defense29%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sofapaka Ulinzi Stars
HATHAT
Played459459
Wins25%40%33%0%40%22%
Draws25%20%22%25%40%33%
Loses50%40%44%75%20%44%

Form: Sofapaka: DLLWDWLWL • Ulinzi Stars: WDDLLLDLW

League goals

Metric Sofapaka Ulinzi Stars
HATHAT
GF total4610246
GF avg1.01.21.10.50.80.7
GA total5510549
GA avg1.31.01.11.30.81.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSofapakaUlinzi Stars
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%78%67%56%
1.544%33%0%33%
2.511%0%0%11%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSofapakaUlinzi Stars
HATHAT
Clean sheets112134
Failed to score224213

Penalties

MetricSofapakaUlinzi Stars
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSofapakaUlinzi Stars
Wins11
Draws12
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-3—0-1
Biggest losses0-22-01-23-1
Goals For2311
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricSofapakaUlinzi Stars
Form64%36%
Att64%36%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h62%38%
Goals64%36%
Total59.7%40.3%

Advice: Double chance : Sofapaka or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.29 @ 1xBet
Draw2.75 @ Bet365
Away3.69 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.55 @ Betfair
No1.49 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.40 @ 888Sport
Under 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sofapaka = 0.81 (league 0.99), Ulinzi Stars = 1.18 (league 0.88)

Ulinzi Stars
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sofapaka 0 13.7% 16.2% 9.6% 3.8% 1.1% 0.3%
1 11.0% 13.0% 7.7% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 4.4% 5.3% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.2% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.1% · Draw 30.2% · Away win 44.6%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1