Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 12:00 • Moi International Sports Centre
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.06 (league 0.98) 0.80 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.8% 31.9% 27.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.4%
0 - 0
15.6%
1 - 1
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Tusker
0 1 2 3 4 5
GOR Mahia 0 15.6% 12.5% 5.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.4% 13.2% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 8.7% 7.0% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.1% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGOR MahiaTusker
Played55
Form87%67%
Attack100%75%
Defense88%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric GOR Mahia Tusker
HATHAT
Played347549
Wins33%100%71%20%50%33%
Draws33%0%14%40%25%33%
Loses33%0%14%40%25%33%

Form: GOR Mahia: LWWWWDW • Tusker: LLDDWWDWL

League goals

Metric GOR Mahia Tusker
HATHAT
GF total4711448
GF avg1.31.81.60.81.00.9
GA total202639
GA avg0.70.00.31.20.81.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGOR MahiaTusker
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%29%78%67%
1.557%0%11%33%
2.514%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGOR MahiaTusker
HATHAT
Clean sheets145123
Failed to score101202

Penalties

MetricGOR MahiaTusker
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricGOR MahiaTusker
Wins42
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-22-10-1
Biggest losses0-1—0-22-1
Goals For3221
Goals Against1022

Model comparison

MetricGOR MahiaTusker
Form57%43%
Att60%40%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h62%38%
Goals60%40%
Total63.7%36.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : GOR Mahia or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.80 @ Betano
Draw2.96 @ Marathonbet
Away4.87 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.36 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.53 @ Marathonbet
No1.44 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): GOR Mahia = 1.06 (league 0.98), Tusker = 0.80 (league 0.87)

Tusker
0 1 2 3 4 5
GOR Mahia 0 15.6% 12.5% 5.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.4% 13.2% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 8.7% 7.0% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.1% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.8% · Draw 31.9% · Away win 27.3%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1