Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 12:00 • SportPesa Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.24 (league 0.98) 1.20 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.5% 30.9% 61.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
28.3%
0 - 0
23.5%
0 - 2
17.0%
Score & goals probability table
Shabana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Murang'a SEAL 0 23.5% 28.3% 17.0% 6.8% 2.1% 0.5%
1 5.7% 6.9% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
2 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMurang'a SEALShabana
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack100%75%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Murang'a SEAL Shabana
HATHAT
Played459448
Wins25%20%22%25%50%38%
Draws0%60%33%0%50%25%
Loses75%20%44%75%0%38%

Form: Murang'a SEAL: LWLLLDWDD • Shabana: WWDLLLDW

League goals

Metric Murang'a SEAL Shabana
HATHAT
GF total369639
GF avg0.81.21.01.50.81.1
GA total5611718
GA avg1.31.21.21.80.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMurang'a SEALShabana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%78%75%63%
1.533%33%13%38%
2.50%11%13%0%
3.50%0%13%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMurang'a SEALShabana
HATHAT
Clean sheets022033
Failed to score213112

Penalties

MetricMurang'a SEALShabana
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMurang'a SEALShabana
Wins12
Draws11
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-24-20-1
Biggest losses1-23-11-2—
Goals For2241
Goals Against2321

Model comparison

MetricMurang'a SEALShabana
Form60%40%
Att63%38%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution18%82%
H2h40%60%
Goals33%67%
Total44.0%56.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Shabana and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.35 @ Betano
Draw2.90 @ Bet365
Away2.04 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.30 @ William Hill
No1.54 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.88 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Murang'a SEAL = 0.24 (league 0.98), Shabana = 1.20 (league 0.86)

Shabana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Murang'a SEAL 0 23.5% 28.3% 17.0% 6.8% 2.1% 0.5%
1 5.7% 6.9% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
2 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.5% · Draw 30.9% · Away win 61.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1