Wed, Feb 4 2026 • 12:00 • Nyayo National Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.21 (league 1.00) 2.84 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.0% 17.5% 45.2%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.3%
2 - 3
6.0%
1 - 2
5.7%
Score & goals probability table
APS Bomet
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nairobi United 0 0.6% 1.8% 2.6% 2.4% 1.7% 1.0%
1 1.4% 4.0% 5.7% 5.4% 3.8% 2.2%
2 1.6% 4.4% 6.3% 6.0% 4.2% 2.4%
3 1.2% 3.3% 4.6% 4.4% 3.1% 1.8%
4 0.6% 1.8% 2.6% 2.4% 1.7% 1.0%
5 0.3% 0.8% 1.1% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNairobi UnitedAPS Bomet
Played55
Form53%13%
Attack64%64%
Defense55%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nairobi United APS Bomet
HATHAT
Played791610717
Wins29%56%44%10%29%18%
Draws29%22%25%40%29%35%
Loses43%22%31%50%43%47%

Form: Nairobi United: WLWLWWLLDWDWLDWD • APS Bomet: LLLWLDDLWDWDLLDLD

League goals

Metric Nairobi United APS Bomet
HATHAT
GF total9112071118
GF avg1.31.21.30.71.61.1
GA total11617121224
GA avg1.60.71.11.21.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNairobi UnitedAPS Bomet
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%75%59%76%
1.531%25%29%35%
2.519%6%12%18%
3.56%0%6%12%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNairobi UnitedAPS Bomet
HATHAT
Clean sheets044224
Failed to score325527

Penalties

MetricNairobi UnitedAPS Bomet
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricNairobi UnitedAPS Bomet
Wins21
Draws12
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-31-01-4
Biggest losses0-32-00-24-2
Goals For4334
Goals Against3234

Model comparison

MetricNairobi UnitedAPS Bomet
Form80%20%
Att50%50%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h80%20%
Goals100%0%
Total65.8%34.2%

Advice: Double chance : Nairobi United or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ Bet365
Draw2.95 @ 10Bet
Away3.60 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.22 @ Marathonbet
No1.60 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.41 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nairobi United = 2.21 (league 1.00), APS Bomet = 2.84 (league 0.90)

APS Bomet
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nairobi United 0 0.6% 1.8% 2.6% 2.4% 1.7% 1.0%
1 1.4% 4.0% 5.7% 5.4% 3.8% 2.2%
2 1.6% 4.4% 6.3% 6.0% 4.2% 2.4%
3 1.2% 3.3% 4.6% 4.4% 3.1% 1.8%
4 0.6% 1.8% 2.6% 2.4% 1.7% 1.0%
5 0.3% 0.8% 1.1% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.0% · Draw 17.5% · Away win 45.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1