Mon, Nov 24 2025 • 12:00 •
Nyayo National Stadium
Expected Goals
4.00 (league 0.98)
3.02 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 36.6% | 13.7% | 21.4% |
best score tips
4 - 3
4.4%
3 - 3
4.4%
4 - 2
4.3%
Score & goals probability table
| APS Bomet | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nairobi United | 0 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 0.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nairobi United | APS Bomet |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 33% |
| Attack | 100% | 57% |
| Defense | 0% | 29% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nairobi United | APS Bomet | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Wins | 67% | 67% | 67% | 0% | 33% | 13% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 33% | 25% |
| Loses | 33% | 33% | 33% | 80% | 33% | 63% |
Form: Nairobi United: WLWLWW • APS Bomet: LLLWLDDL
League goals
| Metric | Nairobi United | APS Bomet | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 6 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nairobi United | APS Bomet | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 67% | 50% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 33% | 25% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 17% | 0% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nairobi United | APS Bomet | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nairobi United | APS Bomet |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nairobi United | APS Bomet |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 0-2 | — | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 1-0 | 0-2 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nairobi United | APS Bomet |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 69% | 31% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 61% | 39% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 63.2% | 36.8% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Nairobi United and +1.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Nairobi United = 4.00 (league 0.98), APS Bomet = 3.02 (league 0.86)
| APS Bomet | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nairobi United | 0 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 0.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.6% · Draw 13.7% · Away win 21.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1