Police vs Mathare United

FKF Premier League — Kenya

Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 12:00 • Police Sacco Stadium

Match Finished

Police

1 - 0

Mathare United

Expected Goals

0.18 (league 0.99) 0.34 (league 0.87)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
12.2%	62.8%	25.0%

best score tips

0 - 0

59.1%

0 - 1

20.3%

1 - 0

10.8%

Score & goals probability table

		Mathare United
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Police	0	59.1%	20.3%	3.5%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	10.8%	3.7%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Police	Mathare United
Played	5	5
Form	67%	47%
Attack	50%	50%
Defense	63%	38%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	4 \| 0.8	4 \| 0.8
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	3 \| 0.6	5 \| 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.90

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

36%

FT probability

2.5+

25%

FT probability

3.5+

18%

FT probability

BTTS

41%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Police			Mathare United
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	4	2	6	4	5	9
Wins	25%	100%	50%	25%	40%	33%
Draws	50%	0%	33%	0%	40%	22%
Loses	25%	0%	17%	75%	20%	44%

Form: Police: DWDWLW • Mathare United: LWDLWLLDW

League goals

Metric	Police			Mathare United
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	1	3	4	4	3	7
GF avg	0.3	1.5	0.7	1.0	0.6	0.8
GA total	2	1	3	6	3	9
GA avg	0.5	0.5	0.5	1.5	0.6	1.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Police		Mathare United
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	50%	33%	67%	56%
1.5	17%	17%	11%	44%
2.5	0%	0%	0%	0%
3.5	0%	0%	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Police			Mathare United
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	3	1	4	1	3	4
Failed to score	3	0	3	1	2	3

Penalties

Metric	Police	Mathare United
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	1 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	1

Streaks

Metric	Police	Mathare United
Wins	1	1
Draws	1	1
Losses	1	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	1-0	1-2	2-0	0-1
Biggest losses	0-2	—	0-2	2-0
Goals For	1	2	2	1
Goals Against	2	1	2	2

Model comparison

Metric	Police	Mathare United
Form	59%	41%
Att	50%	50%
Def	63%	38%
Poisson Distribution	36%	64%
H2h	71%	29%
Goals	89%	11%
Total	61.3%	38.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Police or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ Bet365

Draw3.20 @ Bet365

Away5.57 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ Bet365

Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.41 @ Marathonbet

No1.48 @ 1xBet

Bookmaker: Select to view full market tables.

Bet365 Updated: 2025-11-21T11:00:23+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	1.65
Draw	3.20
Away	5.25

Bet ID 2 — Home/Away

Selection	Odds
Home	1.22
Away	4.00

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -0.75	1.90
Away -0.75	1.90

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 2.5	2.62
Under 2.5	1.44

Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	19.00
Home/Away	51.00
Draw/Away	10.00
Draw/Draw	4.50
Home/Home	2.62
Draw/Home	4.00
Away/Home	29.00
Away/Draw	21.00
Away/Away	9.50

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	4.75
2:0	6.50
2:1	12.00
3:0	11.00
3:1	21.00
3:2	51.00
4:0	23.00
4:1	41.00
0:0	5.50
1:1	7.50
2:2	29.00
0:1	11.00
0:2	26.00
0:3	51.00
1:2	23.00
1:3	51.00
2:3	67.00
4:2	81.00
5:0	41.00
5:1	67.00
6:0	81.00

Bet ID 31 — Correct Score - First Half

Selection	Odds
1:0	3.50
2:0	9.00
2:1	29.00
3:0	29.00
3:1	67.00
4:0	67.00
0:0	2.20
1:1	11.00
2:2	81.00
0:1	7.00
0:2	34.00
0:3	81.00
1:2	51.00

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.11
Home/Away	1.28
Draw/Away	2.10

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.30
Draw	1.95
Away	6.00

Bet ID 14 — Team To Score First

Selection	Odds
Home	1.57
Draw	5.50
Away	3.40

Bet ID 19 — Asian Handicap First Half

Selection	Odds
Home -0.25	1.85
Away -0.25	1.95

Bet ID 20 — Double Chance - First Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.11
Home/Away	1.80
Draw/Away	1.57

Bet ID 22 — Odd/Even - First Half

Selection	Odds
Odd	2.30
Even	1.62

Bet ID 63 — Odd/Even - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Odd	2.10
Even	1.67

Bet ID 50 — Goal Line

Selection	Odds
Over 2	2.02
Under 2	1.78

Marathonbet Updated: 2025-11-21T11:00:23+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	1.62
Draw	3.20
Away	5.45

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.07
Draw	2.18
Away	5.50

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -1.25	2.59
Away -1.25	1.39
Home -1	2.25
Away -1	1.55
Home -0.75	1.82
Away -0.75	1.80
Home -0.25	1.40
Away -0.25	2.56
Home +0	1.18
Away +0	3.85
Home +0.25	1.13
Away +0.25	4.50
Home -2	5.50
Away -2	1.08
Home -1.75	3.78
Away -1.75	1.19
Home -1.5	2.97
Away -1.5	1.30
Home -2.5	6.30
Away -2.5	1.06

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.52
Under 1.5	2.34
Over 1.75	1.65
Under 1.75	2.00
Over 2.0	1.91
Under 2.0	1.72
Over 2.25	2.24
Under 2.25	1.52
Over 2.5	2.52
Under 2.5	1.41
Over 2.75	3.08
Under 2.75	1.28
Over 3.5	4.95
Under 3.5	1.11
Over 0.5	1.07
Under 0.5	5.80
Over 0.75	1.09
Under 0.75	5.25
Over 1.0	1.13
Under 1.0	4.60
Over 1.25	1.32
Under 1.25	2.88
Over 3.0	4.20
Under 3.0	1.15

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	3.50
Under 1.5	1.22
Over 0.5	1.56
Under 0.5	2.24
Over 1.0	2.39
Under 1.0	1.47

Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.71
Under 1.5	1.37
Over 0.5	1.36
Under 0.5	2.75
Over 1.0	1.83
Under 1.0	1.85

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	2.41
No	1.46

Bet ID 9 — Handicap Result

Selection	Odds
Home -1	2.97
Away -1	2.03
Draw -1	3.04
Home -2	6.30
Draw -2	4.70
Away -2	1.30

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.08
Home/Away	1.26
Draw/Away	2.03

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.28
Draw	1.90
Away	6.35

Bet ID 14 — Team To Score First

Selection	Odds
Home	1.51
Draw	5.80
Away	3.48

Bet ID 15 — Team To Score Last

Selection	Odds
Home	1.52
Draw	5.80
Away	3.42

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.15
Under 1.5	1.61
Over 1	1.44
Under 1	2.51
Over 2	3.64
Under 2	1.22

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	5.95
Under 1.5	1.08
Over 1	4.30
Under 1	1.17
Over 0.5	1.93
Under 0.5	1.72

1xBet Updated: 2025-11-21T11:00:23+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	1.64
Draw	3.20
Away	5.57

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.09
Draw	2.18
Away	5.78

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -1.25	2.59
Away -1.25	1.39
Home -1	2.25
Away -1	1.55
Home -0.75	1.82
Away -0.75	1.80
Home -0.25	1.40
Away -0.25	2.56
Home +0	1.18
Away +0	3.85
Home +0.25	1.13
Away +0.25	4.50
Home -2	5.50
Away -2	1.08
Home -1.75	3.78
Away -1.75	1.19
Home -1.5	2.97
Away -1.5	1.30
Home -2.5	6.30
Away -2.5	1.06

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.52
Under 1.5	2.34
Over 1.75	1.65
Under 1.75	2.00
Over 2.0	1.91
Under 2.0	1.72
Over 2.25	2.24
Under 2.25	1.52
Over 2.5	2.52
Under 2.5	1.41
Over 2.75	3.08
Under 2.75	1.28
Over 3.5	4.95
Under 3.5	1.11
Over 0.5	1.07
Under 0.5	5.80
Over 0.75	1.09
Under 0.75	5.25
Over 1.0	1.13
Under 1.0	4.60
Over 1.25	1.32
Under 1.25	2.88
Over 3.0	4.20
Under 3.0	1.15
Over 4.5	9.10
Under 4.5	1.03
Over 5.5	11.00
Under 5.5	1.01

Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.71
Under 1.5	1.37
Over 0.5	1.36
Under 0.5	2.75
Over 0.75	1.51
Under 0.75	2.32
Over 1.0	1.83
Under 1.0	1.85
Over 1.25	2.28
Under 1.25	1.53

Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	19.00
Home/Away	50.00
Draw/Away	10.00
Draw/Draw	4.50
Home/Home	2.62
Draw/Home	4.00
Away/Home	29.00
Away/Draw	21.00
Away/Away	9.50

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	2.41
No	1.48

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	3.10
2:0	4.00
2:1	6.00
3:0	7.80
3:1	12.00
3:2	35.00
4:0	20.00
4:1	30.00
0:0	5.80
1:1	4.40
2:2	17.00
0:1	6.20
0:2	18.00
0:3	80.00
1:2	13.00
1:3	60.00
2:3	80.00
3:3	100.00
0:4	100.00
1:4	100.00
2:4	100.00
4:2	100.00
0:5	100.00
0:6	100.00
1:5	100.00
1:6	100.00
2:5	100.00
2:6	100.00
3:4	100.00
5:0	70.00
5:1	100.00
5:2	100.00
6:0	100.00
6:1	100.00
6:2	100.00
4:3	100.00
3:5	100.00
3:6	100.00
4:5	100.00
4:6	100.00
5:3	100.00
5:4	100.00
5:6	100.00
6:3	100.00
6:4	100.00
6:5	100.00
4:4	100.00
7:0	100.00
7:1	100.00
7:2	100.00
7:3	100.00
7:4	100.00
7:5	100.00
7:6	100.00
8:0	100.00
8:1	100.00
8:2	100.00
8:3	100.00
8:4	100.00
8:5	100.00
8:6	100.00
8:7	100.00
9:0	100.00
9:1	100.00
9:2	100.00
9:3	100.00
9:4	100.00
9:5	100.00
9:6	100.00
9:7	100.00
9:8	100.00
10:0	100.00
10:1	100.00
10:2	100.00
10:3	100.00
10:4	100.00
10:5	100.00
10:6	100.00
10:7	100.00
10:8	100.00
10:9	100.00
5:5	100.00
6:6	100.00
7:7	100.00
8:8	100.00
9:9	100.00
10:10	100.00
0:7	100.00
0:8	100.00
0:9	100.00
0:10	100.00
1:7	100.00
1:8	100.00
1:9	100.00
1:10	100.00
2:7	100.00
2:8	100.00
2:9	100.00
2:10	100.00
3:7	100.00
3:8	100.00
3:9	100.00
3:10	100.00
4:7	100.00
4:8	100.00
4:9	100.00
4:10	100.00
5:7	100.00
5:8	100.00
5:9	100.00
5:10	100.00
6:7	100.00
6:8	100.00
6:9	100.00
6:10	100.00
7:8	100.00
7:9	100.00
7:10	100.00
8:9	100.00
8:10	100.00
9:10	100.00

Bet ID 11 — Highest Scoring Half

Selection	Odds
Draw	2.96
1st Half	3.05
2nd Half	2.19

Bet ID 31 — Correct Score - First Half

Selection	Odds
1:0	3.50
2:0	9.00
2:1	29.00
3:0	29.00
3:1	65.00
4:0	65.00
0:0	2.20
1:1	11.00
2:2	80.00
0:1	7.00
0:2	34.00
0:3	80.00
1:2	50.00

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.08
Home/Away	1.26
Draw/Away	2.03

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.32
Draw	1.95
Away	6.29

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.15
Under 1.5	1.61
Over 1	1.44
Under 1	2.51
Over 2	3.64
Under 2	1.22
Over 0.5	1.22
Under 0.5	3.58

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	5.95
Under 1.5	1.08
Over 1	4.30
Under 1	1.17
Over 0.5	1.93
Under 0.5	1.72

Bet ID 20 — Double Chance - First Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.11
Home/Away	1.80
Draw/Away	1.57

Bet ID 33 — Double Chance - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.06
Home/Away	1.51
Draw/Away	1.57

Bet ID 35 — Both Teams To Score - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Yes	5.04
No	1.12

Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.85
Even	1.79

Bet ID 23 — Home Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.90
Even	1.75

Bet ID 60 — Away Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	2.44
Even	1.45

Bet ID 104 — Asian Handicap (2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Home -1	3.96
Away -1	1.17
Home -0.25	1.66
Away -0.25	2.01
Home +0	1.25
Away +0	3.34
Home +0.25	1.15
Away +0.25	4.33

Bet ID 107 — Home Team Total Goals(2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.66
Under 0.5	2.01

Bet ID 108 — Away Team Total Goals(2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	2.92
Under 0.5	1.32

Bet ID 63 — Odd/Even - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Odd	2.01
Even	1.67

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Police vs Mathare United

Expected goals (λ): Police = 0.18 (league 0.99), Mathare United = 0.34 (league 0.87)

		Mathare United
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Police	0	59.1%	20.3%	3.5%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	10.8%	3.7%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.2% · Draw 62.8% · Away win 25.0%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1

Metric	Police	Mathare United
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	1 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	1