Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 13:00 •
Kasarani Annex Stadium
Expected Goals
1.52 (league 0.98)
3.68 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 11.0% | 11.8% | 60.1% |
best score tips
1 - 3
7.0%
1 - 4
6.4%
1 - 2
5.7%
Score & goals probability table
| APS Bomet | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sofapaka | 0 | 0.6% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% |
| 1 | 0.8% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | |
| 2 | 0.6% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sofapaka | APS Bomet |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 33% |
| Attack | 33% | 33% |
| Defense | 67% | 72% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sofapaka | APS Bomet | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 20% | 40% | 30% | 0% | 50% | 22% |
| Draws | 20% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 25% | 22% |
| Loses | 60% | 40% | 50% | 80% | 25% | 56% |
Form: Sofapaka: DLLWDWLWLL • APS Bomet: LLLWLDDLW
League goals
| Metric | Sofapaka | APS Bomet | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 10 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 8 | 5 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sofapaka | APS Bomet | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 80% | 56% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 40% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 11% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sofapaka | APS Bomet | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sofapaka | APS Bomet |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sofapaka | APS Bomet |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-3 | — | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sofapaka | APS Bomet |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 35% | 65% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 47.0% | 53.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or APS Bomet
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sofapaka = 1.52 (league 0.98), APS Bomet = 3.68 (league 0.87)
| APS Bomet | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sofapaka | 0 | 0.6% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% |
| 1 | 0.8% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | |
| 2 | 0.6% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.0% · Draw 11.8% · Away win 60.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1