Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 11:00 • Green Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.24 (league 0.98) 0.28 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.0% 63.5% 19.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
59.5%
0 - 1
16.4%
1 - 0
14.5%
Score & goals probability table
Tusker
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mara Sugar 0 59.5% 16.4% 2.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.5% 4.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMara SugarTusker
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack28%28%
Defense78%72%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

39%
FT probability

2.5+

28%
FT probability

3.5+

20%
FT probability

BTTS

49%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mara Sugar Tusker
HATHAT
Played6395510
Wins17%33%22%20%40%30%
Draws50%67%56%40%20%30%
Loses33%0%22%40%40%40%

Form: Mara Sugar: DLWDDDWDL • Tusker: LLDDWWDWLL

League goals

Metric Mara Sugar Tusker
HATHAT
GF total257448
GF avg0.31.70.80.80.80.8
GA total2466410
GA avg0.31.30.71.20.81.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMara SugarTusker
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.544%56%70%70%
1.533%11%10%30%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMara SugarTusker
HATHAT
Clean sheets404123
Failed to score505213

Penalties

MetricMara SugarTusker
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricMara SugarTusker
Wins12
Draws32
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-22-10-1
Biggest losses0-1—0-22-1
Goals For2221
Goals Against1222

Model comparison

MetricMara SugarTusker
Form46%54%
Att50%50%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h13%88%
Goals38%63%
Total42.7%57.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Tusker and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.52 @ Betano
Draw2.63 @ Betfair
Away3.26 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.55 @ Betfair
No1.50 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.34 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mara Sugar = 0.24 (league 0.98), Tusker = 0.28 (league 0.87)

Tusker
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mara Sugar 0 59.5% 16.4% 2.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.5% 4.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.0% · Draw 63.5% · Away win 19.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1