Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 12:00 • Moi International Sports Centre
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.83 (league 0.98) 1.79 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.7% 21.9% 37.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
8.8%
2 - 1
8.0%
1 - 2
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
AFC Leopards
0 1 2 3 4 5
GOR Mahia 0 2.7% 4.8% 4.3% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4%
1 4.9% 8.8% 7.9% 4.7% 2.1% 0.8%
2 4.5% 8.0% 7.2% 4.3% 1.9% 0.7%
3 2.7% 4.9% 4.4% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4%
4 1.2% 2.2% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGOR MahiaAFC Leopards
Played55
Form67%53%
Attack41%29%
Defense71%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric GOR Mahia AFC Leopards
HATHAT
Played549549
Wins40%100%67%40%25%33%
Draws20%0%11%60%50%56%
Loses40%0%22%0%25%11%

Form: GOR Mahia: LWWWWDWWL • AFC Leopards: DDDWWWLDD

League goals

Metric GOR Mahia AFC Leopards
HATHAT
GF total67135510
GF avg1.21.81.41.01.31.1
GA total606268
GA avg1.20.00.70.41.50.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGOR MahiaAFC Leopards
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%33%67%67%
1.544%11%44%22%
2.511%11%0%0%
3.50%11%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGOR MahiaAFC Leopards
HATHAT
Clean sheets246303
Failed to score101213

Penalties

MetricGOR MahiaAFC Leopards
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricGOR MahiaAFC Leopards
Wins43
Draws13
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-22-01-2
Biggest losses1-4——2-0
Goals For3222
Goals Against4012

Model comparison

MetricGOR MahiaAFC Leopards
Form56%44%
Att58%42%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h62%38%
Goals63%38%
Total56.8%43.3%

Advice: Double chance : GOR Mahia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.02 @ 1xBet
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away4.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.30 @ 1xBet
No1.59 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): GOR Mahia = 1.83 (league 0.98), AFC Leopards = 1.79 (league 0.87)

AFC Leopards
0 1 2 3 4 5
GOR Mahia 0 2.7% 4.8% 4.3% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4%
1 4.9% 8.8% 7.9% 4.7% 2.1% 0.8%
2 4.5% 8.0% 7.2% 4.3% 1.9% 0.7%
3 2.7% 4.9% 4.4% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4%
4 1.2% 2.2% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.7% · Draw 21.9% · Away win 37.3%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1