Expected Goals
1.80 (league 1.00)
1.78 (league 0.88)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
| 38.4% |
22.0% |
37.6% |
Score & goals probability table
|
|
AFC Leopards |
|
|
0 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
| GOR Mahia |
0 |
2.8% |
5.0% |
4.4% |
2.6% |
1.2% |
0.4% |
| 1 |
5.0% |
8.9% |
7.9% |
4.7% |
2.1% |
0.7% |
| 2 |
4.5% |
8.0% |
7.2% |
4.2% |
1.9% |
0.7% |
| 3 |
2.7% |
4.8% |
4.3% |
2.5% |
1.1% |
0.4% |
| 4 |
1.2% |
2.2% |
1.9% |
1.1% |
0.5% |
0.2% |
| 5 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
0.7% |
0.4% |
0.2% |
0.1% |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | GOR Mahia | AFC Leopards |
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 53% |
| Attack | 39% | 28% |
| Defense | 72% | 78% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric |
GOR Mahia |
AFC Leopards |
| H | A | T | H | A | T |
| Played | 5 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 40% | 100% | 67% | 40% | 25% | 33% |
| Draws | 20% | 0% | 11% | 60% | 50% | 56% |
| Loses | 40% | 0% | 22% | 0% | 25% | 11% |
Form: GOR Mahia: LWWWWDWWL • AFC Leopards: DDDWWWLDD
League goals
| Metric |
GOR Mahia |
AFC Leopards |
| H | A | T | H | A | T |
| GF total | 6 | 7 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 6 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | GOR Mahia | AFC Leopards |
| For | Against | For | Against |
| 0.5 | 89% | 33% | 67% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 11% | 44% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 11% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 11% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | GOR Mahia | AFC Leopards |
| H | A | T | H | A | T |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | GOR Mahia | AFC Leopards |
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | GOR Mahia | AFC Leopards |
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | — | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | GOR Mahia | AFC Leopards |
|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 58% | 42% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 63% | 38% |
| Total | 56.8% | 43.3% |
Advice: Double chance : GOR Mahia or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.21 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away3.90 @ Bet365
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.75 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.20 @ Marathonbet
No1.55 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
Bet365
Updated: 2025-11-29T11:46:12+00:00
Bet ID 1 — Match Winner
| Selection | Odds |
| Home |
1.91 |
| Draw |
3.00 |
| Away |
3.90 |
Bet ID 2 — Home/Away
| Selection | Odds |
| Home |
1.40 |
| Away |
2.75 |
Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap
| Selection | Odds |
| Home -0.5 |
1.98 |
| Away -0.5 |
1.82 |
Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under
| Selection | Odds |
| Over 2.5 |
2.62 |
| Under 2.5 |
1.44 |
Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double
| Selection | Odds |
| Home/Draw |
19.00 |
| Home/Away |
41.00 |
| Draw/Away |
8.00 |
| Draw/Draw |
4.33 |
| Home/Home |
3.10 |
| Draw/Home |
4.50 |
| Away/Home |
34.00 |
| Away/Draw |
19.00 |
| Away/Away |
7.00 |
Bet ID 10 — Exact Score
| Selection | Odds |
| 1:0 |
5.50 |
| 2:0 |
7.50 |
| 2:1 |
12.00 |
| 3:0 |
15.00 |
| 3:1 |
23.00 |
| 3:2 |
41.00 |
| 4:0 |
34.00 |
| 4:1 |
41.00 |
| 0:0 |
5.50 |
| 1:1 |
7.00 |
| 2:2 |
23.00 |
| 0:1 |
8.50 |
| 0:2 |
19.00 |
| 0:3 |
41.00 |
| 1:2 |
17.00 |
| 1:3 |
41.00 |
| 2:3 |
51.00 |
| 0:4 |
81.00 |
| 1:4 |
81.00 |
| 4:2 |
81.00 |
| 5:0 |
51.00 |
| 5:1 |
81.00 |
Bet ID 31 — Correct Score - First Half
| Selection | Odds |
| 1:0 |
3.75 |
| 2:0 |
11.00 |
| 2:1 |
29.00 |
| 3:0 |
41.00 |
| 3:1 |
67.00 |
| 0:0 |
2.20 |
| 1:1 |
10.00 |
| 2:2 |
81.00 |
| 0:1 |
6.00 |
| 0:2 |
26.00 |
| 0:3 |
81.00 |
| 1:2 |
41.00 |
Bet ID 12 — Double Chance
| Selection | Odds |
| Home/Draw |
1.18 |
| Home/Away |
1.30 |
| Draw/Away |
1.73 |
Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner
| Selection | Odds |
| Home |
2.62 |
| Draw |
1.91 |
| Away |
4.75 |
Bet ID 14 — Team To Score First
| Selection | Odds |
| Home |
1.73 |
| Draw |
5.50 |
| Away |
2.75 |
Bet ID 19 — Asian Handicap First Half
| Selection | Odds |
| Home -0.25 |
2.10 |
| Away -0.25 |
1.70 |
Bet ID 20 — Double Chance - First Half
| Selection | Odds |
| Home/Draw |
1.17 |
| Home/Away |
1.80 |
| Draw/Away |
1.44 |
Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even
| Selection | Odds |
| Odd |
2.02 |
| Even |
1.82 |
Bet ID 22 — Odd/Even - First Half
| Selection | Odds |
| Odd |
2.30 |
| Even |
1.62 |
Bet ID 63 — Odd/Even - Second Half
| Selection | Odds |
| Odd |
2.10 |
| Even |
1.67 |
Bet ID 50 — Goal Line
| Selection | Odds |
| Over 1.75 |
1.75 |
| Under 1.75 |
2.05 |
Bet ID 72 — Goal Line (1st Half)
| Selection | Odds |
| Over 0.75 |
1.90 |
| Under 0.75 |
1.90 |
Marathonbet
Updated: 2025-11-29T11:46:12+00:00
Bet ID 1 — Match Winner
| Selection | Odds |
| Home |
2.01 |
| Draw |
2.95 |
| Away |
3.62 |
Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner
| Selection | Odds |
| Home |
2.48 |
| Draw |
2.09 |
| Away |
4.15 |
Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap
| Selection | Odds |
| Home -1.25 |
3.85 |
| Away -1.25 |
1.18 |
| Home -1 |
3.28 |
| Away -1 |
1.25 |
| Home -0.75 |
2.41 |
| Away -0.75 |
1.45 |
| Home -0.25 |
1.71 |
| Away -0.25 |
1.92 |
| Home +0 |
1.43 |
| Away +0 |
2.57 |
| Home +0.25 |
1.29 |
| Away +0.25 |
3.04 |
| Home +0.75 |
1.11 |
| Away +0.75 |
4.85 |
| Home -2 |
8.20 |
| Away -2 |
1.02 |
| Home +1 |
1.01 |
| Away +1 |
8.50 |
| Home -1.5 |
4.40 |
| Away -1.5 |
1.14 |
| Home +1.5 |
1.00 |
| Away +1.5 |
9.20 |
| Home -2.5 |
9.00 |
| Away -2.5 |
1.01 |
Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under
| Selection | Odds |
| Over 1.5 |
1.53 |
| Under 1.5 |
2.31 |
| Over 1.75 |
1.66 |
| Under 1.75 |
1.99 |
| Over 2.0 |
1.94 |
| Under 2.0 |
1.70 |
| Over 2.25 |
2.28 |
| Under 2.25 |
1.50 |
| Over 2.5 |
2.62 |
| Under 2.5 |
1.38 |
| Over 2.75 |
3.20 |
| Under 2.75 |
1.26 |
| Over 3.5 |
5.45 |
| Under 3.5 |
1.08 |
| Over 0.5 |
1.06 |
| Under 0.5 |
6.35 |
| Over 0.75 |
1.08 |
| Under 0.75 |
5.65 |
| Over 1.0 |
1.11 |
| Under 1.0 |
4.85 |
| Over 1.25 |
1.31 |
| Under 1.25 |
2.92 |
| Over 3.0 |
4.55 |
| Under 3.0 |
1.13 |
Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half
| Selection | Odds |
| Over 1.5 |
3.72 |
| Under 1.5 |
1.20 |
| Over 0.5 |
1.55 |
| Under 0.5 |
2.26 |
| Over 1.0 |
2.44 |
| Under 1.0 |
1.45 |
Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half
| Selection | Odds |
| Over 1.5 |
2.79 |
| Under 1.5 |
1.35 |
| Over 0.5 |
1.35 |
| Under 0.5 |
2.79 |
| Over 1.0 |
1.85 |
| Under 1.0 |
1.83 |
Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score
| Selection | Odds |
| Yes |
2.20 |
| No |
1.55 |
Bet ID 9 — Handicap Result
| Selection | Odds |
| Home -1 |
4.40 |
| Away -1 |
1.63 |
| Draw -1 |
3.42 |
| Home -2 |
7.10 |
| Draw -2 |
4.40 |
| Away -2 |
1.11 |
| Home +1 |
1.20 |
| Draw +1 |
3.72 |
| Away +1 |
6.20 |
Bet ID 12 — Double Chance
| Selection | Odds |
| Home/Draw |
1.20 |
| Home/Away |
1.30 |
| Draw/Away |
1.63 |
Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner
| Selection | Odds |
| Home |
2.76 |
| Draw |
1.84 |
| Away |
4.60 |
Bet ID 14 — Team To Score First
| Selection | Odds |
| Home |
1.74 |
| Draw |
6.35 |
| Away |
2.56 |
Bet ID 15 — Team To Score Last
| Selection | Odds |
| Home |
1.74 |
| Draw |
6.35 |
| Away |
2.56 |
Bet ID 16 — Total - Home
| Selection | Odds |
| Over 1.5 |
2.61 |
| Under 1.5 |
1.41 |
| Over 1 |
1.70 |
| Under 1 |
2.01 |
| Over 2 |
5.25 |
| Under 2 |
1.09 |
Bet ID 17 — Total - Away
| Selection | Odds |
| Over 1.5 |
4.35 |
| Under 1.5 |
1.16 |
| Over 1 |
2.84 |
| Under 1 |
1.36 |
| Over 0.5 |
1.62 |
| Under 0.5 |
2.08 |
Pinnacle
Updated: 2025-11-29T11:46:12+00:00
Bet ID 1 — Match Winner
| Selection | Odds |
| Home |
2.21 |
| Draw |
2.80 |
| Away |
3.38 |
Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap
| Selection | Odds |
| Home -1.25 |
3.34 |
| Away -1.25 |
1.24 |
| Home -1 |
3.49 |
| Away -1 |
1.23 |
| Home -0.75 |
2.58 |
| Away -0.75 |
1.41 |
| Home -0.5 |
2.17 |
| Away -0.5 |
1.60 |
| Home -0.25 |
1.88 |
| Away -0.25 |
1.86 |
| Home +0 |
1.52 |
| Away +0 |
2.34 |
| Home +0.25 |
1.36 |
| Away +0.25 |
2.79 |
| Home +0.5 |
1.27 |
| Away +0.5 |
3.23 |
Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under
| Selection | Odds |
| Over 1.5 |
1.56 |
| Under 1.5 |
2.23 |
| Over 1.75 |
1.77 |
| Under 1.75 |
1.98 |
| Over 2.0 |
2.08 |
| Under 2.0 |
1.65 |
| Over 2.25 |
2.41 |
| Under 2.25 |
1.47 |
| Over 2.5 |
2.75 |
| Under 2.5 |
1.36 |
| Over 1.0 |
1.17 |
| Under 1.0 |
4.12 |
| Over 1.25 |
1.36 |
| Under 1.25 |
2.76 |
Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half
| Selection | Odds |
| Over 0.5 |
1.60 |
| Under 0.5 |
2.16 |
| Over 0.75 |
1.91 |
| Under 0.75 |
1.82 |
| Over 1.0 |
2.58 |
| Under 1.0 |
1.42 |
| Over 1.25 |
3.16 |
| Under 1.25 |
1.27 |
Bet ID 16 — Total - Home
| Selection | Odds |
| Over 1.5 |
2.53 |
| Under 1.5 |
1.45 |
Bet ID 17 — Total - Away
| Selection | Odds |
| Over 0.5 |
1.63 |
| Under 0.5 |
2.12 |
Bet ID 19 — Asian Handicap First Half
| Selection | Odds |
| Home -0.75 |
3.84 |
| Away -0.75 |
1.19 |
| Home -0.5 |
2.88 |
| Away -0.5 |
1.34 |
| Home -0.25 |
2.28 |
| Away -0.25 |
1.57 |
| Home +0 |
1.54 |
| Away +0 |
2.26 |
| Home +0.25 |
1.27 |
| Away +0.25 |
3.17 |
Bet ID 105 — Home Team Total Goals(1st Half)
| Selection | Odds |
| Over 0.5 |
2.26 |
| Under 0.5 |
1.56 |
Betano
Updated: 2025-11-29T11:46:12+00:00
Bet ID 1 — Match Winner
| Selection | Odds |
| Home |
1.95 |
| Draw |
2.95 |
| Away |
3.85 |
Bet ID 2 — Home/Away
| Selection | Odds |
| Home |
1.39 |
| Away |
2.57 |
Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner
| Selection | Odds |
| Home |
2.37 |
| Draw |
2.15 |
| Away |
4.10 |
Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap
| Selection | Odds |
| Home -0.5 |
1.88 |
| Away -0.5 |
1.72 |
Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under
| Selection | Odds |
| Over 1.5 |
1.52 |
| Under 1.5 |
2.22 |
| Over 2.0 |
1.93 |
| Under 2.0 |
1.72 |
Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half
| Selection | Odds |
| Over 0.5 |
1.55 |
| Under 0.5 |
2.05 |
| Over 0.75 |
1.80 |
| Under 0.75 |
1.75 |
Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double
| Selection | Odds |
| Home/Draw |
15.50 |
| Home/Away |
60.00 |
| Draw/Away |
7.60 |
| Draw/Draw |
3.90 |
| Home/Home |
3.20 |
| Draw/Home |
4.35 |
| Away/Home |
32.00 |
| Away/Draw |
16.00 |
| Away/Away |
6.70 |
Bet ID 10 — Exact Score
| Selection | Odds |
| 1:0 |
4.15 |
| 2:0 |
6.00 |
| 2:1 |
7.00 |
| 3:0 |
12.00 |
| 3:1 |
14.00 |
| 3:2 |
28.00 |
| 4:0 |
30.00 |
| 4:1 |
35.00 |
| 0:0 |
6.10 |
| 1:1 |
4.85 |
| 2:2 |
14.00 |
| 0:1 |
6.10 |
| 0:2 |
13.00 |
| 0:3 |
37.00 |
| 1:2 |
10.25 |
| 1:3 |
30.00 |
| 2:3 |
40.00 |
| 3:3 |
75.00 |
| 0:4 |
150.00 |
| 1:4 |
110.00 |
| 2:4 |
150.00 |
| 4:2 |
70.00 |
| 3:4 |
300.00 |
| 5:0 |
90.00 |
| 5:1 |
100.00 |
| 5:2 |
200.00 |
| 6:0 |
300.00 |
| 6:1 |
350.00 |
| 4:3 |
200.00 |
Bet ID 11 — Highest Scoring Half
| Selection | Odds |
| Draw |
2.85 |
| 1st Half |
3.10 |
| 2nd Half |
2.10 |
Bet ID 31 — Correct Score - First Half
| Selection | Odds |
| 1:0 |
2.80 |
| 2:0 |
6.90 |
| 2:1 |
14.50 |
| 3:0 |
23.00 |
| 3:1 |
45.00 |
| 3:2 |
150.00 |
| 4:0 |
90.00 |
| 4:1 |
150.00 |
| 0:0 |
2.05 |
| 1:1 |
5.70 |
| 2:2 |
50.00 |
| 0:1 |
3.95 |
| 0:2 |
13.50 |
| 0:3 |
60.00 |
| 1:2 |
20.00 |
| 1:3 |
90.00 |
Bet ID 12 — Double Chance
| Selection | Odds |
| Home/Draw |
1.22 |
| Home/Away |
1.32 |
| Draw/Away |
1.67 |
Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner
| Selection | Odds |
| Home |
2.72 |
| Draw |
1.85 |
| Away |
4.60 |
Bet ID 19 — Asian Handicap First Half
| Selection | Odds |
| Home -0.25 |
2.00 |
| Away -0.25 |
1.60 |
Bet ID 20 — Double Chance - First Half
| Selection | Odds |
| Home/Draw |
1.17 |
| Home/Away |
1.78 |
| Draw/Away |
1.37 |
Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even
| Selection | Odds |
| Odd |
1.85 |
| Even |
1.78 |
Bet ID 109 — Draw No Bet (1st Half)
| Selection | Odds |
| Home |
1.44 |
| Away |
2.35 |
Bet ID 182 — Draw No Bet (2nd Half)
| Selection | Odds |
| Home |
1.42 |
| Away |
2.40 |
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ):
GOR Mahia = 1.80 (league 1.00),
AFC Leopards = 1.78 (league 0.88)
|
|
AFC Leopards |
|
|
0 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
| GOR Mahia |
0 |
2.8% |
5.0% |
4.4% |
2.6% |
1.2% |
0.4% |
| 1 |
5.0% |
8.9% |
7.9% |
4.7% |
2.1% |
0.7% |
| 2 |
4.5% |
8.0% |
7.2% |
4.2% |
1.9% |
0.7% |
| 3 |
2.7% |
4.8% |
4.3% |
2.5% |
1.1% |
0.4% |
| 4 |
1.2% |
2.2% |
1.9% |
1.1% |
0.5% |
0.2% |
| 5 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
0.7% |
0.4% |
0.2% |
0.1% |
Outcome probabilities:
Home win 38.4% ·
Draw 22.0% ·
Away win 37.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1