Fri, Dec 5 2025 • 12:00 • Police Sacco Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.65 (league 0.99) 1.65 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.3% 24.0% 61.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.6%
0 - 2
13.7%
1 - 1
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Ulinzi Stars
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tusker 0 10.0% 16.6% 13.7% 7.5% 3.1% 1.0%
1 6.5% 10.7% 8.9% 4.9% 2.0% 0.7%
2 2.1% 3.5% 2.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTuskerUlinzi Stars
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack80%100%
Defense20%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tusker Ulinzi Stars
HATHAT
Played56115611
Wins20%50%36%0%50%27%
Draws40%17%27%40%33%36%
Loses40%33%36%60%17%36%

Form: Tusker: LLDDWWDWLLW • Ulinzi Stars: WDDLLLDLWWD

League goals

Metric Tusker Ulinzi Stars
HATHAT
GF total4593710
GF avg0.80.80.80.61.20.9
GA total64106511
GA avg1.20.70.91.20.81.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTuskerUlinzi Stars
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%64%73%64%
1.59%27%9%27%
2.50%0%9%9%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTuskerUlinzi Stars
HATHAT
Clean sheets134134
Failed to score213213

Penalties

MetricTuskerUlinzi Stars
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricTuskerUlinzi Stars
Wins22
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-1—1-3
Biggest losses0-22-11-23-1
Goals For2113
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricTuskerUlinzi Stars
Form47%53%
Att40%60%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total51.8%48.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Tusker or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.78 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.91 @ 188Bet
Away3.40 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.45 @ 188Bet
No1.57 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.08 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.36 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tusker = 0.65 (league 0.99), Ulinzi Stars = 1.65 (league 0.87)

Ulinzi Stars
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tusker 0 10.0% 16.6% 13.7% 7.5% 3.1% 1.0%
1 6.5% 10.7% 8.9% 4.9% 2.0% 0.7%
2 2.1% 3.5% 2.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.3% · Draw 24.0% · Away win 61.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1