Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 13:00 • Nyayo National Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 0.97) 0.35 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.6% 40.5% 14.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
30.8%
1 - 0
25.4%
0 - 1
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Homeboyz
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Leopards 0 30.8% 10.9% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.4% 9.0% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.5% 3.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAFC LeopardsHomeboyz
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack100%100%
Defense20%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%
FT probability

2.5+

36%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AFC Leopards Homeboyz
HATHAT
Played5497411
Wins40%25%33%43%50%45%
Draws60%50%56%43%25%36%
Loses0%25%11%14%25%18%

Form: AFC Leopards: DDDWWWLDD • Homeboyz: DWLWWWDDLWD

League goals

Metric AFC Leopards Homeboyz
HATHAT
GF total551011314
GF avg1.01.31.11.60.81.3
GA total2687310
GA avg0.41.50.91.00.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAFC LeopardsHomeboyz
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%73%73%
1.544%22%36%18%
2.50%0%18%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAFC LeopardsHomeboyz
HATHAT
Clean sheets303123
Failed to score213123

Penalties

MetricAFC LeopardsHomeboyz
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAFC LeopardsHomeboyz
Wins33
Draws32
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-23-11-2
Biggest losses—2-00-22-0
Goals For2232
Goals Against1222

Model comparison

MetricAFC LeopardsHomeboyz
Form57%43%
Att50%50%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h38%62%
Goals50%50%
Total54.2%45.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : AFC Leopards or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.55 @ 10Bet
Draw2.88 @ Bet365
Away3.02 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.40 @ Superbet
No1.57 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.95 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AFC Leopards = 0.82 (league 0.97), Homeboyz = 0.35 (league 0.91)

Homeboyz
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Leopards 0 30.8% 10.9% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.4% 9.0% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.5% 3.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.6% · Draw 40.5% · Away win 14.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1