Sat, Dec 6 2025 • 11:00 •
Ulinzi Sports Complex
Expected Goals
0.81 (league 0.99)
0.96 (league 0.88)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.2% | 33.1% | 37.6% |
best score tips
0 - 0
17.1%
0 - 1
16.4%
1 - 0
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Sofapaka | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| KCB | 0 | 17.1% | 16.4% | 7.9% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.8% | 13.2% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.6% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | KCB | Sofapaka |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 27% |
| Attack | 80% | 60% |
| Defense | 20% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
48%
FT probability
2.5+
34%
FT probability
3.5+
24%
FT probability
BTTS
53%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | KCB | Sofapaka | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 0% | 43% | 30% | 17% | 40% | 27% |
| Draws | 33% | 29% | 30% | 33% | 20% | 27% |
| Loses | 67% | 29% | 40% | 50% | 40% | 45% |
Form: KCB: WLWLLLDDWD • Sofapaka: DLLWDWLWLLD
League goals
| Metric | KCB | Sofapaka | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 2 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | KCB | Sofapaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 60% | 55% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 10% | 20% | 36% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 9% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | KCB | Sofapaka | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | KCB | Sofapaka |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | KCB | Sofapaka |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-1 | 1-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | KCB | Sofapaka |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 13% | 88% |
| Total | 41.0% | 59.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Sofapaka and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): KCB = 0.81 (league 0.99), Sofapaka = 0.96 (league 0.88)
| Sofapaka | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| KCB | 0 | 17.1% | 16.4% | 7.9% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.8% | 13.2% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.6% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.2% · Draw 33.1% · Away win 37.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1