Wed, Jan 14 2026 • 13:00 • Moi International Sports Centre
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.00) 1.60 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.0% 24.0% 41.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.0%
1 - 2
8.8%
2 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Murang'a SEAL
0 1 2 3 4 5
GOR Mahia 0 4.8% 7.7% 6.2% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
1 6.9% 11.0% 8.8% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.9% 7.9% 6.3% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4%
3 2.4% 3.8% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.8% 1.4% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGOR MahiaMurang'a SEAL
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack100%80%
Defense0%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric GOR Mahia Murang'a SEAL
HATHAT
Played5496511
Wins40%100%67%17%20%18%
Draws20%0%11%33%60%45%
Loses40%0%22%50%20%36%

Form: GOR Mahia: LWWWWDWWL • Murang'a SEAL: LWLLLDWDDDD

League goals

Metric GOR Mahia Murang'a SEAL
HATHAT
GF total67134610
GF avg1.21.81.40.71.20.9
GA total6066612
GA avg1.20.00.71.01.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGOR MahiaMurang'a SEAL
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%33%64%73%
1.544%11%27%27%
2.511%11%0%9%
3.50%11%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGOR MahiaMurang'a SEAL
HATHAT
Clean sheets246123
Failed to score101314

Penalties

MetricGOR MahiaMurang'a SEAL
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricGOR MahiaMurang'a SEAL
Wins41
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-22-10-2
Biggest losses1-4—1-23-1
Goals For3222
Goals Against4023

Model comparison

MetricGOR MahiaMurang'a SEAL
Form50%50%
Att56%44%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h64%36%
Goals58%42%
Total51.8%48.2%

Advice: Double chance : GOR Mahia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.60 @ Betano
Draw3.55 @ Dafabet
Away6.32 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.46 @ Marathonbet
No1.46 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.58 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): GOR Mahia = 1.44 (league 1.00), Murang'a SEAL = 1.60 (league 0.90)

Murang'a SEAL
0 1 2 3 4 5
GOR Mahia 0 4.8% 7.7% 6.2% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
1 6.9% 11.0% 8.8% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.9% 7.9% 6.3% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4%
3 2.4% 3.8% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.8% 1.4% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.0% · Draw 24.0% · Away win 41.0%

vtt 3 , vtd1