Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 13:00 •
Moi International Sports Centre
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 0.99)
1.65 (league 0.88)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 33.6% | 23.7% | 41.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.8%
1 - 2
8.9%
2 - 1
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Murang'a SEAL | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| GOR Mahia | 0 | 4.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 6.6% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | GOR Mahia | Murang'a SEAL |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 47% |
| Attack | 100% | 80% |
| Defense | 0% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | GOR Mahia | Murang'a SEAL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 40% | 100% | 67% | 17% | 20% | 18% |
| Draws | 20% | 0% | 11% | 33% | 60% | 45% |
| Loses | 40% | 0% | 22% | 50% | 20% | 36% |
Form: GOR Mahia: LWWWWDWWL • Murang'a SEAL: LWLLLDWDDDD
League goals
| Metric | GOR Mahia | Murang'a SEAL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 7 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | GOR Mahia | Murang'a SEAL | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 89% | 33% | 64% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 11% | 27% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 11% | 0% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 11% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | GOR Mahia | Murang'a SEAL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | GOR Mahia | Murang'a SEAL |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | GOR Mahia | Murang'a SEAL |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | — | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | GOR Mahia | Murang'a SEAL |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 64% | 36% |
| Goals | 58% | 42% |
| Total | 56.2% | 44.0% |
Advice: Double chance : GOR Mahia or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): GOR Mahia = 1.45 (league 0.99), Murang'a SEAL = 1.65 (league 0.88)
| Murang'a SEAL | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| GOR Mahia | 0 | 4.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 6.6% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.6% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 41.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1