Fri, Dec 12 2025 • 12:00 • Kasarani Annex Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.31 (league 0.98) 0.55 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.4% 49.9% 33.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
42.4%
0 - 1
23.4%
1 - 0
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Mathare United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bidco United 0 42.4% 23.4% 6.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.0% 7.2% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 2.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBidco UnitedMathare United
Played55
Form13%47%
Attack25%50%
Defense38%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

39%
FT probability

2.5+

28%
FT probability

3.5+

20%
FT probability

BTTS

45%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bidco United Mathare United
HATHAT
Played66125712
Wins17%33%25%20%43%33%
Draws33%33%33%0%29%17%
Loses50%33%42%80%29%50%

Form: Bidco United: WWLDWDLDDLLL • Mathare United: LWDLWLLDWLWL

League goals

Metric Bidco United Mathare United
HATHAT
GF total347448
GF avg0.50.70.60.80.60.7
GA total55107411
GA avg0.80.80.81.40.60.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBidco UnitedMathare United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.542%50%58%58%
1.517%17%8%33%
2.50%17%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBidco UnitedMathare United
HATHAT
Clean sheets336145
Failed to score437235

Penalties

MetricBidco UnitedMathare United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricBidco UnitedMathare United
Wins21
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-22-00-1
Biggest losses2-33-10-22-0
Goals For2221
Goals Against3322

Model comparison

MetricBidco UnitedMathare United
Form22%78%
Att33%67%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h60%40%
Goals67%33%
Total43.5%56.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Mathare United and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.63 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.70 @ Bet365
Away3.00 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.55 @ Betfair
No1.50 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.30 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.33 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bidco United = 0.31 (league 0.98), Mathare United = 0.55 (league 0.87)

Mathare United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bidco United 0 42.4% 23.4% 6.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.0% 7.2% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 2.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.4% · Draw 49.9% · Away win 33.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1