Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 12:00 • Kasarani Annex Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.57 (league 0.98) 1.20 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.7% 30.9% 51.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
20.4%
0 - 0
17.1%
0 - 2
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Tusker
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sofapaka 0 17.1% 20.4% 12.2% 4.9% 1.5% 0.3%
1 9.8% 11.7% 7.0% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 2.8% 3.3% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSofapakaTusker
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack30%40%
Defense40%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

52%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sofapaka Tusker
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins17%33%25%33%50%42%
Draws33%17%25%33%17%25%
Loses50%50%50%33%33%33%

Form: Sofapaka: DLLWDWLWLLDL • Tusker: LLDDWWDWLLWW

League goals

Metric Sofapaka Tusker
HATHAT
GF total56115510
GF avg0.81.00.90.80.80.8
GA total86146410
GA avg1.31.01.21.00.70.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSofapakaTusker
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%75%75%58%
1.533%33%8%25%
2.58%8%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSofapakaTusker
HATHAT
Clean sheets213235
Failed to score336213

Penalties

MetricSofapakaTusker
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricSofapakaTusker
Wins12
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-32-10-1
Biggest losses1-32-00-22-1
Goals For2321
Goals Against3222

Model comparison

MetricSofapakaTusker
Form31%69%
Att43%57%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h20%80%
Goals50%50%
Total35.5%64.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Tusker and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.68 @ 1xBet
Draw2.62 @ Bet365
Away2.50 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.90 @ Superbet
No1.40 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.54.00 @ 888Sport
Under 2.51.29 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sofapaka = 0.57 (league 0.98), Tusker = 1.20 (league 0.87)

Tusker
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sofapaka 0 17.1% 20.4% 12.2% 4.9% 1.5% 0.3%
1 9.8% 11.7% 7.0% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 2.8% 3.3% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.7% · Draw 30.9% · Away win 51.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1