Fri, Dec 12 2025 • 13:00 • Nyayo National Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.20 (league 0.98) 2.50 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.9% 18.8% 41.8%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.9%
1 - 2
6.2%
2 - 3
5.7%
Score & goals probability table
Murang'a SEAL
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nairobi United 0 0.9% 2.3% 2.8% 2.4% 1.5% 0.7%
1 2.0% 5.0% 6.2% 5.2% 3.3% 1.6%
2 2.2% 5.5% 6.9% 5.7% 3.6% 1.8%
3 1.6% 4.0% 5.0% 4.2% 2.6% 1.3%
4 0.9% 2.2% 2.8% 2.3% 1.4% 0.7%
5 0.4% 1.0% 1.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNairobi UnitedMurang'a SEAL
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack78%44%
Defense0%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nairobi United Murang'a SEAL
HATHAT
Played4486511
Wins50%50%50%17%20%18%
Draws0%0%0%33%60%45%
Loses50%50%50%50%20%36%

Form: Nairobi United: WLWLWWLL • Murang'a SEAL: LWLLLDWDDDD

League goals

Metric Nairobi United Murang'a SEAL
HATHAT
GF total73104610
GF avg1.80.81.30.71.20.9
GA total73106612
GA avg1.80.81.31.01.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNairobi UnitedMurang'a SEAL
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%75%64%73%
1.538%38%27%27%
2.525%13%0%9%
3.513%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNairobi UnitedMurang'a SEAL
HATHAT
Clean sheets022123
Failed to score224314

Penalties

MetricNairobi UnitedMurang'a SEAL
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricNairobi UnitedMurang'a SEAL
Wins21
Draws01
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-22-10-2
Biggest losses0-32-01-23-1
Goals For4222
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricNairobi UnitedMurang'a SEAL
Form46%54%
Att64%36%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total47.0%53.0%

Advice: Double chance : Nairobi United or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.78 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away2.63 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Betfair
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nairobi United = 2.20 (league 0.98), Murang'a SEAL = 2.50 (league 0.86)

Murang'a SEAL
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nairobi United 0 0.9% 2.3% 2.8% 2.4% 1.5% 0.7%
1 2.0% 5.0% 6.2% 5.2% 3.3% 1.6%
2 2.2% 5.5% 6.9% 5.7% 3.6% 1.8%
3 1.6% 4.0% 5.0% 4.2% 2.6% 1.3%
4 0.9% 2.2% 2.8% 2.3% 1.4% 0.7%
5 0.4% 1.0% 1.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.9% · Draw 18.8% · Away win 41.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1