Wed, Dec 17 2025 • 12:00 • Kasarani Annex Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 0.98) 1.61 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.9% 24.9% 55.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.2%
1 - 1
11.6%
0 - 2
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Sofapaka
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mathare United 0 8.8% 14.2% 11.5% 6.1% 2.5% 0.8%
1 7.2% 11.6% 9.3% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6%
2 2.9% 4.7% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.8% 1.3% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMathare UnitedSofapaka
Played55
Form47%7%
Attack33%11%
Defense78%11%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.61 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mathare United Sofapaka
HATHAT
Played58137613
Wins20%38%31%14%33%23%
Draws0%38%23%29%17%23%
Loses80%25%46%57%50%54%

Form: Mathare United: LWDLWLLDWLWLD • Sofapaka: DLLWDWLWLLDLL

League goals

Metric Mathare United Sofapaka
HATHAT
GF total4485611
GF avg0.80.50.60.71.00.8
GA total741110616
GA avg1.40.50.81.41.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMathare UnitedSofapaka
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.554%54%46%77%
1.58%31%31%38%
2.50%0%8%8%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMathare UnitedSofapaka
HATHAT
Clean sheets156213
Failed to score246437

Penalties

MetricMathare UnitedSofapaka
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricMathare UnitedSofapaka
Wins11
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-12-00-3
Biggest losses0-22-01-32-0
Goals For2123
Goals Against2232

Model comparison

MetricMathare UnitedSofapaka
Form88%13%
Att75%25%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h15%85%
Goals18%82%
Total52.5%47.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Mathare United or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.47 @ Superbet
Draw2.75 @ Betfair
Away3.20 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Betfair
No1.60 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.88 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mathare United = 0.82 (league 0.98), Sofapaka = 1.61 (league 0.87)

Sofapaka
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mathare United 0 8.8% 14.2% 11.5% 6.1% 2.5% 0.8%
1 7.2% 11.6% 9.3% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6%
2 2.9% 4.7% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.8% 1.3% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.9% · Draw 24.9% · Away win 55.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1