Thu, Dec 18 2025 • 12:00 • SportPesa Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.57 (league 0.99) 2.07 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.0% 18.4% 70.8%
best score tips
0 - 2
15.3%
0 - 1
14.8%
0 - 3
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
Police
0 1 2 3 4 5
Murang'a SEAL 0 7.2% 14.8% 15.3% 10.6% 5.5% 2.3%
1 4.1% 8.4% 8.7% 6.0% 3.1% 1.3%
2 1.1% 2.4% 2.5% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4%
3 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMurang'a SEALPolice
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack33%56%
Defense67%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Murang'a SEAL Police
HATHAT
Played66127411
Wins17%17%17%29%100%55%
Draws33%67%50%43%0%27%
Loses50%17%33%29%0%18%

Form: Murang'a SEAL: LWLLLDWDDDDD • Police: DWDWLWWWLWD

League goals

Metric Murang'a SEAL Police
HATHAT
GF total4711279
GF avg0.71.20.90.31.80.8
GA total6713336
GA avg1.01.21.10.40.80.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMurang'a SEALPolice
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%75%55%36%
1.525%25%18%18%
2.50%8%9%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMurang'a SEALPolice
HATHAT
Clean sheets123527
Failed to score314505

Penalties

MetricMurang'a SEALPolice
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMurang'a SEALPolice
Wins13
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-21-02-3
Biggest losses1-23-10-2—
Goals For2213
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricMurang'a SEALPolice
Form33%67%
Att38%63%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution24%76%
H2h9%91%
Goals27%73%
Total30.2%70.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Police and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.75 @ Bet365
Draw3.05 @ Superbet
Away2.25 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.50 @ Superbet
No1.50 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.36 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Murang'a SEAL = 0.57 (league 0.99), Police = 2.07 (league 0.87)

Police
0 1 2 3 4 5
Murang'a SEAL 0 7.2% 14.8% 15.3% 10.6% 5.5% 2.3%
1 4.1% 8.4% 8.7% 6.0% 3.1% 1.3%
2 1.1% 2.4% 2.5% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4%
3 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.0% · Draw 18.4% · Away win 70.8%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1