Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 11:00 • Green Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.24 (league 0.99) 1.15 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.8% 32.3% 59.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
28.6%
0 - 0
24.8%
0 - 2
16.4%
Score & goals probability table
Tusker
0 1 2 3 4 5
APS Bomet 0 24.8% 28.6% 16.4% 6.3% 1.8% 0.4%
1 6.0% 6.9% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAPS BometTusker
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack70%40%
Defense50%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

50%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric APS Bomet Tusker
HATHAT
Played76137714
Wins14%33%23%29%57%43%
Draws29%33%31%29%14%21%
Loses57%33%46%43%29%36%

Form: APS Bomet: LLLWLDDLWDWDL • Tusker: LLDDWWDWLLWWWL

League goals

Metric APS Bomet Tusker
HATHAT
GF total310135712
GF avg0.41.71.00.71.00.9
GA total710177411
GA avg1.01.71.31.00.60.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAPS BometTusker
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.554%69%71%57%
1.531%31%14%21%
2.58%15%0%0%
3.58%15%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAPS BometTusker
HATHAT
Clean sheets224246
Failed to score426314

Penalties

MetricAPS BometTusker
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricAPS BometTusker
Wins13
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-42-10-2
Biggest losses0-24-20-22-1
Goals For1422
Goals Against2422

Model comparison

MetricAPS BometTusker
Form47%53%
Att64%36%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution21%79%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total42.2%57.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Tusker and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.00 @ 10Bet
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away2.05 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.30 @ Superbet
No1.62 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.41 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): APS Bomet = 0.24 (league 0.99), Tusker = 1.15 (league 0.87)

Tusker
0 1 2 3 4 5
APS Bomet 0 24.8% 28.6% 16.4% 6.3% 1.8% 0.4%
1 6.0% 6.9% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.8% · Draw 32.3% · Away win 59.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1